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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

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Accuracy 20

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What will be the consequences of the deal between Intel and Qualcomm?

Link Copy 2024-09-26 14:37:08

Prediction

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Reason

Even if Intel's management agrees, it will take several years for international regulators to approve the deal, and eventually Qualcomm itself will sink to the bottom.

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Intel is in a financial hole - in the first quarter of 2023, it posted a record net loss of almost $3 billion, and in the second quarter of 2024, it tried to repeat this achievement, bringing its net debt to $1.61 billion.

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What is the likely target for Russia's atomic weapons?

Link Copy 2023-11-26 14:03:59

Prediction

Norfolk and Newport News

Reason

American nuclear aircraft carriers are rigidly tied to one place. These are Norfolk (Virginia), the largest naval base in the world, and Newport News (shipyard B with three giant slipways-one for construction and two for repair), on the other side of the Bay, where they are being built and seriously repaired.

Norfolk and Newport News

The time of the floating giants will end

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What will an armed conflict between Cambodia and Vietnam lead to?

Link Copy 2025-07-26 14:55:59

Prediction

In the near future, the clash will be rolled back to its previous state – to the beginning of the shelling.

Reason

The armies of both countries are not ready for a major war. It is not beneficial for the sides to continue the conflict, as their economies rely on tourism, and it will soon be resolved.

In the near future, the clash will be rolled back to its previous state – to the beginning of the shelling.

Thailand is a highly pro-American country and has been supported by the US since the Vietnam War. As for Cambodia, it is within China's sphere of influence. US-China relations are currently at a stage of increasing tension; the trade war has been set aside but is by no means over, and there is a noticeable escalation in the situation in Taiwan and the South China Sea. Therefore, Cambodia decided that China will support it now.

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