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Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

Link Copy 2025-04-17 10:39:30

Prediction

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

Reason

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

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Who will be next after the United States at the head of the world order?

Link Copy 2023-03-31 04:31:23

Prediction

India in 2060

Reason

India will be the main supplier of food and raw materials for post-war reconstruction. India's population of 1.5 billion will be able to cope with the tasks set. The dollar and yuan will be replaced by a multi-currency package tied to gold.

India in 2060

India is acting as a key and constructive player in the creation of a new world order that can meet the challenges of tomorrow. A world order that goes beyond the purely economic and puts people and their well-being at the forefront.

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Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

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What will happen if all countries start mining lithium at once?

Link Copy 2023-05-21 13:56:04

Prediction

The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin

Reason

Since the beginning of the decade, lithium has risen in price by hundreds of percent and will be in short supply for more than one year due to the needs of the energy transition, which is actively going on in the West and in China. In the near future, Europe will be heavily dependent on external supplies of lithium.

The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin

All countries want a piece of the lithium pie

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