Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

When will the AI bubble burst?

In 2031.

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

When will the new world order come?

When the US loses its fleet and allies in 2050

The United States will be afraid of the superiority of China and pit China against Russia. In parallel, it will fight with Russia on behalf of Ukraine. Russia, forced to fight on 2 fronts, will use nuclear weapons on the US fleet. As a result of the outbreak at sea, England and Japan, allies of the United States, will be flooded. A peace treaty will be signed immediately.

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war.

China to overtake US in GDP in 2033 - Japanese think tank

What is the U.S. strategy?

Extend its monopoly on solving its political and economic problems at the expense of the rest of the world for another 20-30 years

On October 12, 2022, the United States adopted and unveiled a new national security strategy, which defines the main priorities and goals of US foreign policy and military construction. Opponents in the new defense strategy are called Russia and China.

In the current US military strategy, Russia is declared the main culprit for the loss of world domination and privileged military-economic position in the world, the main obstacle to the preservation of world dominance and the main adversary, and China is a competitor in the long term.

Press Release by J. Friedman

United States National Security Strategy

Physically eliminate an undesirable regime

Compete with China, contain Russia

Accuracy 40