The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help
The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade
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The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin
Since the beginning of the decade, lithium has risen in price by hundreds of percent and will be in short supply for more than one year due to the needs of the energy transition, which is actively going on in the West and in China. In the near future, Europe will be heavily dependent on external supplies of lithium.

All countries want a piece of the lithium pie
The fight for lithium has begun in the world.
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Ukraine has been pumped with weapons and money again. The Russian military reported to the president that they will be able to capture Donbass by September, which means that there will be no negotiations until 2027.
Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The United States will not be able to influence the conclusion of peace
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Four years old
Everything was done to make this war unstoppable. At least it will last until January 2029, when Trump leaves office, or earlier if he is assassinated.

It will be very difficult to stop this war with negotiations.
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