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Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

Link Copy 2025-04-17 10:39:30

Prediction

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

Reason

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

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When will the special operation in Ukraine end?

Link Copy 2023-07-05 13:24:37

Prediction

In 2025

Reason

The US will stop helping Ukraine if Trump becomes president in 2025. After the change of any of the presidents of the United States, Ukraine or Russia, progress will begin in signing a peace treaty.

In 2025

As long as both sides have reserves, the operation will not end. Under Biden, the US will continue to support Ukraine. A change of the president of Ukraine could have ended the conflict, but Zelensky postponed the elections until the end of the war. Russia will do the same. A military coup in Ukraine and Russia is unlikely.

References

Accuracy 80

2022-09-17
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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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What will happen at the BRICS meeting?

Link Copy 2023-06-13 08:15:07

Prediction

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

Reason

The BRICS Bank intends to finance more projects in national currencies to strengthen the local market and protect borrowers from the risk of currency fluctuations. Currently, the share of relevant projects in national currency in the bank's total project portfolio is about 22%, the NBR president said, adding that the bank intends to increase this figure to 30%. Currently, five BRICS countries are members of the EBRD, as well as Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Uruguay is already in the process of joining.

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

The BRICS summit will be followed by a powerful geopolitical shock wave for which the world will not be ready. The Western world will not be ready.

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