What will happen if all countries start mining lithium at once?

2023-05-21 13:56:04

The price of lithium will fall, and in countries where it is mined, environmental problems will begin

Since the beginning of the decade, lithium has risen in price by hundreds of percent and will be in short supply for more than one year due to the needs of the energy transition, which is actively going on in the West and in China. In the near future, Europe will be heavily dependent on external supplies of lithium.

All countries want a piece of the lithium pie

The fight for lithium has begun in the world.

Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

2025-04-24 15:37:00

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

When will the United States lose its leadership in the world?

2023-09-23 13:27:31

After the loss of the Navy and the loss of the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency.

By 2030, the United States will become the third economy in the world in terms of gross domestic product after China and India. China's dominance in the economic sphere does not in itself weaken the influence of the United States as a power. It is expected that by 2048, the dollar will cease to be the world's leading currency. And the US fleet can only be lost in the event of a protracted war with China and Russia in 2060.

If America faces economic collapse and abandonment of all military and diplomatic obligations, then the rest of the world will be plunged into anarchy, they say - there will be no one to intervene in the friction between South Korea and the DPRK, India and Pakistan, China and its neighbors.

That's the end of it: when will the dollar lose world domination and which currency will replace it

By 2030, the United States will become the third economy in the world in terms of gross domestic product after China and India. China's dominance in the economic sphere does not in itself weaken the influence of the United States as a power. It is expected that by 2048, the dollar will cease to be the world's leading currency. And the US fleet can only be lost in the event of a protracted war with China and Russia in 2060.

What is Russia's path?

2023-09-27 09:43:10

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China

What does China mean for the Russian economy