2024-04-19 15:30:36

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

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2024-10-17 11:29:14

The truth is somewhere in the middle

The crisis did not happen as the West expected, but not everything is as rosy as the Russian government claims. Despite all the efforts to replace imports, everything is imported by a third, no matter how hard they try to produce their own. And it is unlikely that this figure will reach half in the near future.

Due to sanctions, Russia is forced to conclude unprofitable contracts for itself in the long term and increase its dependence on China. The impact of sanctions would have been more significant if not for the global recession.

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2024-07-14 05:35:56

An assassination attempt on Donald Trump will greatly enhance his chances of winning

Before the assassination attempt, Trump's supporters considered him a hero who had to face constant attacks from his enemies - now this image will become even stronger. The attack will consolidate the image of a martyr for the Republican, and a photo with a raised fist will become a symbol of the elections.

The assassination attempt was preceded by a series of political victories by Trump. On June 27, he won the debate with Joe Biden.

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2026-03-08 07:38:27

The struggle for world domination

The primary goal is to destroy stability in the region. The chaos makes the region dependent on an external arbitrator (the United States), without whom local players cannot ensure their safety. The destruction of the digital and logistics hubs of the Persian Gulf undermines the region's status as a secure center of trade and finance. This will lead to an outflow of capital and technology to other regions (Europe, Southeast Asia), which will weaken the economic independence of the Arab monarchies and increase their dependence on the United States. The secondary goal is to slow down China. China is the largest buyer of Iranian oil. Depriving Beijing of this resource or sharply increasing the cost of its delivery due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz is hitting Chinese industry. For the United States, weakening the Iran—China link and controlling energy arteries is a strategic priority. However, it is worth considering the risks of such a strategy.: it can rally the opponents of the United States (China, Russia, Iran) into an even closer military-economic bloc and accelerate the process of de-dollarization of the global economy, as countries will see the dollar and the American security system as a direct threat to their existence. The full picture includes: Economics: Saving the dollar and the profits of the military industrial complex. Logistics: Blocking alternative trade routes (Russia-India-China). Technology: Destroying the competitor's potential. Domestic politics: A distraction from the problems in the USA and Israel. The reset of the petrodollar and the preservation of the dollar's hegemony. This is perhaps the most profound economic reason. The bottom line: In recent years, Iran, Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries have actively discussed switching to payments for oil in yuan, rubles or local currencies, bypassing the US dollar. This threatened the foundation of the American economy, which is based on the demand for the dollar as a reserve currency.

In his first term, Trump unilaterally tore up the agreement with Iran, but due to the coronavirus, he was unable to carry out the plans to the end.

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