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What will happen if Kamala Harris wins the US election?

Link Copy 2024-08-08 15:59:47

Prediction

The continuation of the war in Ukraine and the escalation of the Iranian-Israeli conflict

Reason

Harris will support the Democrats' policy on the Ukrainian issue, which means she will continue to allocate money for the war. It can also start a war by using the army to prove its worth. Well, war is possible only against Russia or Iran.

The continuation of the war in Ukraine and the escalation of the Iranian-Israeli conflict

Trump promised to end the war in Ukraine if he wins the election, Harris has not yet decided. Trump has already defeated a woman in the election. According to the poll, most men plan to vote for Trump, while women plan to vote for Harris.

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Will Russia and Ukraine be able to make peace after Trump's ultimatum in 50 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-15 10:44:44

Prediction

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

Reason

Neither Ukraine nor Russia agrees to a peace treaty in the form that the West wants to see. If peace is concluded now, Ukraine will lose part of its territories, and Russia will receive a hostile country that, having recovered, will attack again. Therefore, the war will continue until a victorious end.

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

For some reason, Russia cannot understand and realize that if a country starts a war, it will have to go to the end. To the borders of Europe and even fight against NATO.

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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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Why is the price of gold falling?

Link Copy 2026-02-09 05:32:13

Prediction

Lower gold prices mean that market participants need a huge amount of cash.

Reason

There is a recession, wars, an AI boom, mass layoffs and layoffs. A huge amount of cash is required to fulfill the obligations of the system. They are trying to keep the system from collapsing, especially the stock market, because its collapse = a chain reaction. They sell things that can be sold quickly: stocks, bonds, gold, and cryptocurrencies. Gold is one of the most liquid assets. Therefore, it falls in a crisis, although logically it should grow. The main culprits: hedge funds , banks, sales desks, big traders. They are the ones who need cash.

Lower gold prices mean that market participants need a huge amount of cash.

The fall in the price of gold indicates systemic problems in the economy. They spent the whole year 2025 buying gold, preparing, and in 2026 the crisis began. It's not the final collapse, but this is no longer a “regular correction”, but The first phase of the crisis is related to the negative economic situation and systemic problems.

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