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Who will win the elections in Ukraine on March 31, 2024?

Link Copy 2023-05-20 14:39:02

Prediction

Zelensky will lose the election

Reason

Ukrainians are tired of the war and the politics of the current president

Zelensky will lose the election

After the elections, they will talk about the end of the war

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Why do IT giants still continue to violate the law despite large fines?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Until a criminal investigation begins against the company executives, the violations will not stop.

Reason

Profit more than covers all overhead costs

Until a criminal investigation begins against the company executives, the violations will not stop.

Will there be a war between the United States and Venezuela?

Link Copy 2025-11-14 15:20:43

Prediction

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

Reason

Risks for the United States : Intervention can be expensive and the consequences unpredictable. Hidden goals 1. Pressure on the Venezuelan government is to show that the United States can strike at naval facilities even near their territory. 2. Technology and tactics testing — drones, missiles, precision strikes, real-time reconnaissance. 3. Economic and military pressure on the Caribbean countries. 4. A political show of force within the United States is to show the electorate that “drug cartels are under control” without an official declaration of war.

No, the United States will continue military and financial pressure, but without a full-scale invasion.

What the United States calls the “fight against drug trafficking”: in practice, it is a military operation with pinpoint strikes, accompanied by the death of civilians and suspects without trial, At the same time, it serves as a geopolitical pressure on Venezuela and neighboring countries.

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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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