Zelensky will lose the election
Ukrainians are tired of the war and the politics of the current president

After the elections, they will talk about the end of the war
Ukrainian Elections 2024: Alignment of Forces
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No
There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.
Before the new year, everyone likes to make predictions
Medvedev published forecasts for 2023 with the partition of Poland and the collapse of the EU
Accuracy 20
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First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.
After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.
The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China
What does China mean for the Russian economy
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The goal remains the same: halting the progress of developing countries
Rich countries can afford to abandon economic growth, for developing countries everything looks different: this is their only chance to overcome poverty. Ambitious climate goals, as set by green activists, make this task virtually impossible.

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Kennedy and rockefeller: do they finance the green protests in Europe?
Accuracy 10
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