This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.
By 2045, the global IT market will become clearly concentrated, with several leading players and a high market share. It should be noted that the market may shrink by about 1.5‑3 times in terms of the number of active professionals, but at the same time the quality, complexity and value of these specialists will increase.

It is safe from the point of view of control not to go into AI, but it is almost guaranteed to lead to lagging behind and loss of market share, especially if competitors actively use AI. In a highly competitive world where speed and scale are important, not using AI can be worse than the risk of failures in its implementation.
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No
There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.
Before the new year, everyone likes to make predictions
Medvedev published forecasts for 2023 with the partition of Poland and the collapse of the EU
Accuracy 20
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The Americans are the leaders in AI, and regulation will only increase the technological gap of other countries.
Inequality between countries will lead to the fact that regions with strict regulation may lag behind less regulated ones. This could lead to a war of humans against robots, like in science fiction movies. Governments are trying to regulate AI, relying on experts, business and academia, but the balance of power is unequal: corporations have more resources and influence, independent specialists have less voice. As a result, the rules often reflect not the public interest, but the interests of the strongest players.

The spread of AI is already regulated by American companies that control all key aspects of AI. Video cards, processors, major data centers, scientific developments, etc. are controlled by the Americans.
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Displacing the United States from the position of the most powerful country in the world and creating a new world order
China will create new strategic partnership networks to replace the unequal system of U.S. alliances. China will become the most technologically advanced country in the world. China will build a first-class army. China will regain ideological and information control over the country.

It is no longer possible to hide military power and ambitions, and China faces the threat of an anti-Chinese coalition.
China's Grand Strategy
Accuracy 10
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