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What will happen to Syria after the change of power?

Link Copy 2024-12-10 14:02:16

Prediction

It will be divided

Reason

Numerous rebel groups control various parts of the country, and they all want their share of power. A civil war is expected. In addition, other states have interests in Syria.

It will be divided

Israel has already begun to divide Syria. The Israeli military captured several towns and villages, including Aarna, Bakassm, Rimeh, Hina, Qala, Jandal, al-Husseiniyah, Jita and al-Hashab south of Damascus. They now control the entire Golan Heights, including the Syrian side of Mount Hermon. They said that they would forever retain control over the Golan Heights. The new Syrian authorities have already sent an official appeal to the UN Security Council demanding an end to the aggressive actions of the Jewish state. Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Iran also condemned Israel's actions.

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Who will be president after Trump?

Link Copy 2025-04-20 14:26:24

Prediction

Democratic candidate

Reason

Republicans will not be forgiven for dismissals. Democrats are already winning party elections in states where Republicans used to win.

Democratic candidate

Even after the change of Trump, US policy will not change. They need to bring jobs back to the country, and this should be beneficial to employers, and this can only be done with the help of a weak dollar and protective tariffs or other unpopular reforms.

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How can the country get rid of dollar dependence?

Link Copy 2025-02-03 09:41:08

Prediction

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

Reason

Abandoning the dollar is a whole range of measures. From tying your currency to something tangible, preferably something that your country owns more than other countries, to banning the purchase and sale of dollars. Why is it necessary to move away from the dollar? First of all. To reduce dependence on the United States. After Trump's arrival, pressure begins on all countries. Secondly. There is a danger that the dollar will depreciate due to the problems of the United States and the European Union, because the dollar is also pegged to European currencies and an avalanche effect is possible. The third. Trump is scaring tariffs, which will further increase the negative reaction.

The government needs to link its currency to some real resources and make payments not in dollars, but based on the peg.

China and Russia are trying to create an alternative currency pegged to the territory and rare earth metals, because they feel strong pressure from the United States. The other BRICS countries don't want to move away from the dollar because they don't feel the pressure.

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Why is the Russian economy growing despite the sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-05-09 15:00:38

Prediction

Sanctions are ineffective

Reason

Russian oil and LNG are still bought only through third countries. The development of the military industry and the reorientation of trade to Asian countries support the Russian economy. The Russian market, liberated by Western companies, has the potential for growth. There are no secondary sanctions.

Sanctions are ineffective

In the long term, sanctions will hinder the growth of the Russian economy and lead to stagnation. For example, there is already a shortage in the labor market, inflation and the impact of technological sanctions. The vivid economic picture of Russia hides dangerous compromises made in pursuit of short-term benefits. Future generations will pay a heavy price for the current situation. However, the Kremlin only cares about the present.

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