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What will become of the dollar when it ceases to be a reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-10-14 07:58:37

Prediction

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

Reason

If the US dollar ceases to be the world's reserve currency, this will lead to a total collapse and collapse of the US economy, which is not far from the collapse of the country.

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

Why is the status of the world reserve currency so important for the United States? This allows them to print dollars almost uncontrollably – if it causes currency devaluation in other powers, then everything is OK. Every time a state or a person buys a dollar, he takes on part of the US government debt.

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Will artificial intelligence be able to reach the level of superintelligence in the near future?

Link Copy 2026-07-29 11:03:36

Prediction

No, there are no resources for that.

Reason

Research by experts points to serious bottlenecks in the development of neural networks, including physical and economic constraints such as the availability of advanced chips and enormous power consumption.

No, there are no resources for that.

AI advertising today is an interesting example of how marketing shapes expectations. Companies compete for attention and investment, so they often emphasize the most impressive use cases.

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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

References

Accuracy 20

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Who will be the next president of Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-07-16 14:21:44

Prediction

Vitali Klitschko

Reason

The current President of Ukraine Zelensky has been in office since May 20, 2019. At the start of his public service, he was confident that before the end of his term, the fighting in the Donbass would be completed. Despite this, the implementation of the Minsk Agreements did not begin under the leadership of Zelensky, the shelling of the DPR and LPR by the VFU did not stop. There is a lot of negativity against Zelensky, and Klitschko is quite a popular mayor, media and active, he may well not be a virtual competition, as a technical candidate, but a completely real one.

Vitali Klitschko

There is a lot of negativity towards Zelensky, and Klitschko is a fairly popular mayor, and he may well compete with Zelensky. The elections will be postponed for a year due to the war, at least until the change of US President Biden. Zelensky, if he loses the election, will not live in Ukraine and has already bought a palace in England.

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