What will become of the dollar when it ceases to be a reserve currency?

2023-10-14 07:58:37

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

If the US dollar ceases to be the world's reserve currency, this will lead to a total collapse and collapse of the US economy, which is not far from the collapse of the country.

Why is the status of the world reserve currency so important for the United States? This allows them to print dollars almost uncontrollably – if it causes currency devaluation in other powers, then everything is OK. Every time a state or a person buys a dollar, he takes on part of the US government debt.

Challenging the dollar is the main fear of the United States.

When will the AI bubble burst?

2025-12-14 07:43:49

In 2031.

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

What did Trump and Putin agree on?

2025-09-13 07:21:20

We are talking about ending the war on terms unfavorable for Ukraine.

Moscow wants to get 6,000 square kilometers from Kiev, which are not yet under its control. Therefore, Russia is now preparing a massive offensive against Ukraine, deploying marines and equipment, and even replacing the commander-in-chief of the ground forces. Therefore, they put up flags, pretending that they have seized territories. The United States will put pressure on Ukraine to sign a peace agreement, threatening sanctions, etc., because they still need to resolve the issue of Chinese dominance and the problem with Israel, and there is not enough money to resolve several issues. In return, Moscow will not touch the territories with rare earth metals that the United States plans to develop in Ukraine and for which a contract has already been signed.

Russian media reports that Ukraine is allegedly waiting for specific proposals from Russia on the issue of territory exchange.

Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

2025-12-14 09:21:56

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.