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Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

Link Copy 2025-08-21 17:20:51

Prediction

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Reason

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

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Will there be a truce between Ukraine and Russia?

Link Copy 2025-09-06 16:01:50

Prediction

A truce is expected in November 2025.

Reason

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

A truce is expected in November 2025.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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Will there be a war in Africa?

Link Copy 2023-09-08 14:40:01

Prediction

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

Reason

There were coups in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Gabon. African countries are simply tired of colonial Europe, which for centuries has used it only as cheap raw materials. The situation in Gabon will be of a special nature, there will be a great struggle for it, because it is a rich and oily country. And because of the coup in Niger, which now does not supply uranium for pennies, the entire nuclear industry in Europe is in danger of disappearing, and these are 56 nuclear power plants in France, 11 in Britain, 7 in Spain, 3 in Germany, 6 in the Czech Republic and about 40 more scattered elsewhere in Europe, according to Politico. So far, the matter is limited only to sanctions. France must withdraw troops by the end of the year.

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

If ECOWAS does start a war in Africa, then 218,000 bayonets will stand on the side of the West in the countries where it still has influence – the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Cape Verde, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone. They will be able to resist the armies of Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso and Guinea - a total of about 30 thousand troops. ECOWAS will make this mistake by carrying out a military intervention in Niger, because if they intervene militarily, it means that the whole of Africa will be at war and the problem is that 80% of the inhabitants in the countries where military coups have taken place support the current military government.

References
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What will happen to the frozen Russian assets?

Link Copy 2023-02-05 21:13:12

Prediction

They will be confiscated

Reason

The US Department of Justice began to confiscate the money of Russians - this became possible by court decision. He completed the trial in the case of Russian businessman Konstantin Malofeev, who was accused of circumventing sanctions.

They will be confiscated

The withdrawal of these funds will prevent other countries from relying on the United States in the future.

References

Accuracy 20

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