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What problems will China face due to Trump's tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-05-30 01:13:21

Prediction

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Reason

With his statements, Trump has already caused significant damage to China. Foreign companies will not invest in China due to high tariffs, particularly in the long term. Chinese companies themselves are planning to move their factories to neighboring countries. Small businesses are already facing problems. Warehouses are overflowing with goods, and there is no one to sell them to. Apple and Samsung are closing factories in China, which threatens unemployment.

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Even the court's decision to cancel the tariffs won't help. It will only be a delay. Yes, the tariffs will hit the US, but they will hit China harder.

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What's wrong with open source projects?

Link Copy 2024-05-13 15:49:55

Prediction

Large corporations engaged in software development do not shy away from stealing other people's intellectual property in the form of open source code and integrating it into their commercial software

Reason

Sooner or later, every programmer will start making his own project, so as not to create competition, Open Source was invented when a programmer, no matter how much time he spent, would not write his own commercial Windows, and his code could be used for free, and he himself would never share it with corporations.

Large corporations engaged in software development do not shy away from stealing other people's intellectual property in the form of open source code and integrating it into their commercial software

There are other pitfalls, for example, vulnerability in a particular free component can lead to serious threats to information security.

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Will there be a war in Africa?

Link Copy 2023-09-08 14:40:01

Prediction

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

Reason

There were coups in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Gabon. African countries are simply tired of colonial Europe, which for centuries has used it only as cheap raw materials. The situation in Gabon will be of a special nature, there will be a great struggle for it, because it is a rich and oily country. And because of the coup in Niger, which now does not supply uranium for pennies, the entire nuclear industry in Europe is in danger of disappearing, and these are 56 nuclear power plants in France, 11 in Britain, 7 in Spain, 3 in Germany, 6 in the Czech Republic and about 40 more scattered elsewhere in Europe, according to Politico. So far, the matter is limited only to sanctions. France must withdraw troops by the end of the year.

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

If ECOWAS does start a war in Africa, then 218,000 bayonets will stand on the side of the West in the countries where it still has influence – the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Cape Verde, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone. They will be able to resist the armies of Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso and Guinea - a total of about 30 thousand troops. ECOWAS will make this mistake by carrying out a military intervention in Niger, because if they intervene militarily, it means that the whole of Africa will be at war and the problem is that 80% of the inhabitants in the countries where military coups have taken place support the current military government.

References
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How to solve the problem of refugees?

Link Copy 2023-07-02 12:56:46

Prediction

All states must refrain from organizing, assisting, creating, financing, encouraging or allowing armed, subversive or terrorist activities aimed at changing the order of another state through violence, as well as from interfering in the internal struggle in another state.

Reason

It is necessary to radically solve the problem of the emergence of such circumstances, as a result of which influxes of refugees are formed. The main reason is the existing and growing military conflicts in Africa and the Middle East, which are not taking place without the participation of external forces and states.

All states must refrain from organizing, assisting, creating, financing, encouraging or allowing armed, subversive or terrorist activities aimed at changing the order of another state through violence, as well as from interfering in the internal struggle in another state.

To change the situation, it is necessary to fight not with refugees, but with the policies of those countries that rudely and unceremoniously interfere in the domestic affairs of other states.

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