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What problems will China face due to Trump's tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-05-30 01:13:21

Prediction

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Reason

With his statements, Trump has already caused significant damage to China. Foreign companies will not invest in China due to high tariffs, particularly in the long term. Chinese companies themselves are planning to move their factories to neighboring countries. Small businesses are already facing problems. Warehouses are overflowing with goods, and there is no one to sell them to. Apple and Samsung are closing factories in China, which threatens unemployment.

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Even the court's decision to cancel the tariffs won't help. It will only be a delay. Yes, the tariffs will hit the US, but they will hit China harder.

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Why is the Russian economy growing despite the sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-05-09 15:00:38

Prediction

Sanctions are ineffective

Reason

Russian oil and LNG are still bought only through third countries. The development of the military industry and the reorientation of trade to Asian countries support the Russian economy. The Russian market, liberated by Western companies, has the potential for growth. There are no secondary sanctions.

Sanctions are ineffective

In the long term, sanctions will hinder the growth of the Russian economy and lead to stagnation. For example, there is already a shortage in the labor market, inflation and the impact of technological sanctions. The vivid economic picture of Russia hides dangerous compromises made in pursuit of short-term benefits. Future generations will pay a heavy price for the current situation. However, the Kremlin only cares about the present.

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Why is the ruble falling because Russia does not depend on the dollar?

Link Copy 2023-04-16 12:13:49

Prediction

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

Reason

Russia is trying to compensate for the low volume of energy sales and the discounts they are forced to make with the high price of the dollar

This is an attempt to make money on the sale of energy resources

An important factor for the ruble is oil prices, which may affect its dynamics

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Will the Russian president be overthrown as a result of an uprising?

Link Copy 2024-09-19 13:56:11

Prediction

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

Reason

Despite the dissatisfaction of the generals with the Russian president for the appointment of a "non-military" Minister of Defense. He will not be overthrown until at least the end of 2024 for the simple reason that it is still better with a president than without him. Moreover, the president has already made concessions, signing an order to expand the staff and increase state support for the army.

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

But if the war drags on, then it is quite possible to expect an overthrow as a result of an uprising.

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