Why is the Russian economy growing despite the sanctions?

2024-05-09 15:00:38

Sanctions are ineffective

Russian oil and LNG are still bought only through third countries. The development of the military industry and the reorientation of trade to Asian countries support the Russian economy. The Russian market, liberated by Western companies, has the potential for growth. There are no secondary sanctions.

In the long term, sanctions will hinder the growth of the Russian economy and lead to stagnation. For example, there is already a shortage in the labor market, inflation and the impact of technological sanctions. The vivid economic picture of Russia hides dangerous compromises made in pursuit of short-term benefits. Future generations will pay a heavy price for the current situation. However, the Kremlin only cares about the present.

Does it make sense to become a programmer in the age of AI?

2026-04-08 12:28:45

Yes, it makes sense to become a programmer in the age of AI, but the role of a programmer is changing.

Artificial intelligence really automates some of the work: writing simple code, finding bugs, and generating templates. Because of this, it may seem that the profession is dying. But in practice, something else happens: Demand does not disappear, but grows. Businesses need more and more digital solutions, which means people who understand what to do and why, and not just write code. AI is a tool, not a substitute. He speeds up the work, but does not understand the context, product goals, and business logic as well as a human. The complexity of the tasks increases. The more automation there is, the higher the value of specialists who are able to design systems, make decisions, and work with architecture. The entry threshold is lower, the competition is higher. It's easier to get started, but it's harder to stand out. In fact, a programmer becomes not a person who writes code, but an engineer who solves problems using code and AI.

Yes, it's worth going into programming, but with the expectation of developing thinking, not just coding skills. We need to learn how to work with AI, not compete with it. Skills are more appreciated: systems thinking, product understanding, and communication. Simple tasks will be automated, while complex tasks will be left to people.

Why can a war start in Kazakhstan as in Ukraine?

2023-06-12 02:08:31

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood

U.S. takes control of Kazakhstan

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

2023-07-28 14:26:17

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

A rapid large-scale purge or replacement of the elite with a new composition? What Is Putin's Choice?