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Will the Ukraine-Russia summit help end the war?

Link Copy 2024-03-13 10:03:14

Prediction

The summit will not take place

Reason

Ukraine does not have the ability to stop military operations on its own. Negotiations with Russia are prohibited by law, the new president could lift this ban, but the elections have been postponed until the end of the war.

The summit will not take place

Russia hopes to end the hostilities with peaceful negotiations, it had the opportunity to kill Zelensky and capture Kiev. The issue will change after the change of the US president to Trump. If Biden stays, the EU will be forced to go to war with Russia.

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Why is OpenAI buying up all the components?

Link Copy 2026-01-10 03:25:39

Prediction

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

Reason

In part, this destruction of competitors is not direct, but through economic and technological strangulation. OpenAI and Microsoft do not have to want to harm others - it is enough for them to maximize their progress, and the market itself will exclude the weak. The goal is that the future of AI is determined by 2-3 corporations, not a community of scientists, startups and public organizations.

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

The main threat is not from AI as a technology, but from the one who owns it.

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When will the offensive of Ukraine to Russia?

Link Copy 2023-05-01 09:46:44

Prediction

May 9, 2023

Reason

Ukraine has been announcing an offensive for a long time. April-May is the best time to attack.

May 9, 2023

Attempts to intensify hostilities on the part of Ukraine have been and will be, otherwise the Western elites cannot justify spending gigantic funds on its armament.

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When will Kazakhstan lose its sovereignty?

Link Copy 2023-02-11 12:23:08

Prediction

In 2035

Reason

In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

In 2035

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.

References

Accuracy 20

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