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Are electric vehicles the future?

Link Copy 2023-06-05 09:52:47

Prediction

No, it's just a transition

Reason

All vehicles with internal combustion engines cannot be replaced. There will be a shortage of raw materials for the production of batteries, wires and infrastructure.

No, it's just a transition

Lithium, cobalt and neodymium stockpiles become the limit beyond which the future of electric cars ends

References
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What will the consumer society lead to?

Link Copy 2024-09-06 10:00:58

Prediction

To the Death of Civilization

Reason

If consumption continues to rise in the near future, we will face the depletion of natural resources and wars over them.

To the Death of Civilization

Inflating consumption for the sake of more consumption cannot continue indefinitely. The depletion of resources will lead to their shortage, and uncontrolled lending will lead to the depreciation of money. The result could be a crisis never seen before, with people fighting for food and starving to death, and endless rows of coffee makers and televisions piled up on store shelves.

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Will there be a nuclear war?

Link Copy 2023-09-17 05:59:27

Prediction

No

Reason

In 1994, the United States, England, France, and Russia signed an agreement to stop the production of fissile materials for nuclear weapons. The PRC did not sign the treaty, but undertook to comply with it. Israel also did not sign the agreement, but stopped the production of nuclear weapons in 2004, reserving for itself the right to resume its production if necessary. India, Pakistan, and the DPRK, of course, did not sign the treaty. This contract is indefinite, its effect began in 1997.

No

Plutonium-based nuclear weapons have an expiration date of 18 years. 1997 18 years = 2015. Also, defeating military targets, and not hitting cities at all, is the priority of a nuclear attack.

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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