Negotiations will be postponed for a year
Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.
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The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.
Because of the sanctions, Europe and the United States lost the Russian market, and it was occupied by companies from China. Many manufacturers have changed their minds about building their factories in Europe due to rising resource prices. Meanwhile, Russia is strengthening trade relations with India, China, Iran and creating new trade routes bypassing Europe.

Asia will surpass the USA and Europe
Changing forecasts. What awaits the world and Russian economy?
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In short, an increase in oil production
They are completely satisfied with the situation with the closure of the Ozmur Strait and the shortage of oil. The price ceiling has been set at $60 per barrel since the beginning of the year, but the closure of the strait increased the demand for oil to 100.

The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC, but did not withdraw, as participation in OPEC is still more profitable than exiting it.
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No, this is just propaganda, the same as the use of nuclear weapons, and statements like we haven't even started a war yet.
Belarus has already faced sanctions for helping Russia, and if it had entered the war directly, the sanctions would almost certainly have intensified. The Belarusian army does not have enough power for large-scale offensive operations. An attack would cause heavy losses with limited results, the risk of attacks on the territory of Belarus and being drawn into a long war without control over the outcome. There have already been protests in the country against participation in the war. Direct participation could increase the discontent of the population and increase pressure on the government, as well as create a risk of political instability.

In the long run: participation in the war would almost certainly worsen the situation of Belarus. For the state and the economy: rather disadvantages (sanctions, risks, dependence). For the government: short-term advantages (Moscow's support).
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