Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

2025-04-24 15:37:00

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

How to speed up dedollarization?

2023-05-08 07:42:30

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

If Beijing wants to make the yuan the world's reserve currency, then it will have to first go for financial liberalization. In theory, the dollar can also be replaced by a system that is not based on a specific national currency. In this case, gold or cryptocurrencies can become a universal means of payment.

If investors begin to massively get rid of dollar assets and return the American currency to their homeland, this will provoke a surge in inflation in the United States and a potential debt crisis. The problems of the USA will spread to the financial markets, which are still dependent on the dollar, and will cause a new round of the global economic crisis.

Is collapse inevitable? Can the Ukrainian crisis deprive the dollar of its reserve currency status?

Will there be a war between Iran and Israel?

2024-04-19 15:30:36

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

When will the new world order come?

2023-03-27 08:52:27

When the US loses its fleet and allies in 2050

The United States will be afraid of the superiority of China and pit China against Russia. In parallel, it will fight with Russia on behalf of Ukraine. Russia, forced to fight on 2 fronts, will use nuclear weapons on the US fleet. As a result of the outbreak at sea, England and Japan, allies of the United States, will be flooded. A peace treaty will be signed immediately.

Changing the world order is usually accompanied by war.

China to overtake US in GDP in 2033 - Japanese think tank