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Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-04-24 15:37:00

Prediction

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Reason

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

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Is AI a threat to humanity?

Link Copy 2024-03-20 16:40:46

Prediction

This is complete nonsense.

Reason

At the moment, there are already restrictions on the development of artificial intelligence in the form of unconstitutional laws prohibiting the training of AI models on publicly available data.

This is complete nonsense.

Everyone is shouting that artificial intelligence is a threat, but at the same time they are introducing it everywhere at a record pace, trying to do it faster than competitors.

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Why is Apple starting to lag behind?

Link Copy 2024-10-22 14:46:27

Prediction

They do not want to cooperate with other companies and are fixated on their own products

Reason

Apple has never introduced revolutionary technology. They took the best of what was on the market and tried to reinvent it. Steve Jobs forced the company to make products for itself, and now Apple is adapting not to one person, but to its huge audience. By the end of 2024, it is already obvious that smartphones have reached their peak. This is evidenced by the fact that secondary manufacturers have already caught up with technological leaders. Apple's AI is two years behind the competition. The strategy of inventing no longer works.

They do not want to cooperate with other companies and are fixated on their own products

It's quite rare for companies with such profitable products to be willing to make radical changes in their business.

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How will the distribution of world religions change in the future?

Link Copy 2023-04-26 13:44:59

Prediction

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

Reason

The main reason for the rapid growth of Muslims is a high birth rate, and not the departure of people in Islam. Moreover, the main driver of this process will not be the countries of the Middle East, but ... India and the USA. India - due to the rapid general increase in the population, America - due to mass immigration. The number of Buddhists of the world is expected to remain approximately at the same level due to a low birth rate and aging of the population in countries such as China, Thailand and Japan.

Until 2060, Christians will remain the largest religious group. By 2060, Islam will become the main world religion that will take the place of Christianity. 3.23 billion Muslims and 2.99 billion Christians.

This is just a forecast based on current demographic trends. In the future, various kinds of scientific and technological revolutions may occur, which will affect the worldview of people in a completely different way. It also does not take into account the consequences of wars taking place on the planet. If we take into account the consequences of wars, then Hinduism will come in second place.

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