There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.
The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

Trump will negotiate oil purchases from the United States at a meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 15, and there will be no talk of ending the war. Most likely, China will think and then refuse, citing the country's interests in the region, and Europe will also put pressure on Trump inside the country, so we will have to negotiate.
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The fact that she will not bring the operation to the end
The problem with Ukraine will not be solved even after the signing of the peace treaty, it will be postponed. In the future, this time bomb will explode. They will attack Russia already, but this time taking into account all the mistakes of the past.

The Russian elite does not want to make tough decisions and take responsibility, expecting the problem to resolve itself.
WHY DOES THE WHOLE COURSE OF ITS DEVELOPMENT DEVELOP THIS WAY? THE ELITE OF THE COUNTRIES OF OUR WORLD ARE LIKE A HERD OF BABOONS. PREDICTING THE FUTURE BY THE EXAMPLE OF CINEMA ART.
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There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.
If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.
Taiwan Relations Act
Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC
An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?
The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated
Accuracy 40
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The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%
There would be no special election if there was no intention to win. Statistically, incumbent presidents have always won. The opposition did not have time to prepare for the elections because the elections were called in a short period of time.

According to the Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the current president of Kazakhstan cannot be nominated for a second term. Participation in the election of the current president is illegal.
CEC announces final results of presidential elections in Kazakhstan
2015 Kazakhstan presidential election
How the presidential elections were held in Kazakhstan: from 1991 to 2015
Accuracy 30
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