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When will the war between the United States and Israel with Iran end?

Link Copy 2026-03-29 12:54:08

Prediction

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

Reason

The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

Trump will negotiate oil purchases from the United States at a meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 15, and there will be no talk of ending the war. Most likely, China will think and then refuse, citing the country's interests in the region, and Europe will also put pressure on Trump inside the country, so we will have to negotiate.

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What is Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine really?

Link Copy 2024-11-09 13:49:13

Prediction

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

Reason

Trump's advisers are considering a plan to end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, which involves freezing the front line, creating a demilitarized zone and abandoning Ukraine's bid to join NATO for 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. Trump intends to put pressure on Ukraine and Russia in the form of an ultimatum. Two of Trump's military advisers have offered to force Ukraine into peace talks, threatening to cut off arms supplies. At the same time, they said that Russia's refusal to negotiate would lead to increased support for Ukraine from the United States. A plan to resolve the conflict will be presented after the inauguration on January 20. In the meantime, Trump is considering various options presented by his advisers.

Freezing the conflict for 20 years

The problem will not be solved, but postponed for 20 years in order to restore and arm Ukraine. Signing peace on such terms is unacceptable for Russia.

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What will happen at the BRICS meeting?

Link Copy 2023-06-13 08:15:07

Prediction

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

Reason

The BRICS Bank intends to finance more projects in national currencies to strengthen the local market and protect borrowers from the risk of currency fluctuations. Currently, the share of relevant projects in national currency in the bank's total project portfolio is about 22%, the NBR president said, adding that the bank intends to increase this figure to 30%. Currently, five BRICS countries are members of the EBRD, as well as Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Uruguay is already in the process of joining.

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

The BRICS summit will be followed by a powerful geopolitical shock wave for which the world will not be ready. The Western world will not be ready.

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Did the British change India's caste system?

Link Copy 2023-10-10 11:57:38

Prediction

Yes, the social categories of religion and caste, as they are perceived in modern India, developed during the British colonial rule, at a time when information was scarce and the colonizer's power over information was absolute.

Reason

This was originally done in the early 19th century by elevating selected and convenient Brahmin-Sanskrit texts such as Manusmriti to canonical status; the alleged caste origin in the Rig Veda (the oldest religious text) was most likely added retroactively after it was translated into English decades later. These categories were institutionalized in the mid- to late 19th century through the census. These were acts of convenience and simplification. The colonialists established an acceptable list of local religions in India - Hinduism, Sikhism, Jainism - and their boundaries and laws by reading what they claimed were the definitive texts of India.

Yes, the social categories of religion and caste, as they are perceived in modern India, developed during the British colonial rule, at a time when information was scarce and the colonizer's power over information was absolute.

Officially, castes are prohibited by law in India, but changing the caste division of Indian society, which has been cultivated in the minds of Indians for centuries, is not so easy.

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