When will the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine take place and why is Ukraine asking for a ceasefire for 30 days?
2025-05-11 16:38:54
Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the USA has again allocated money for military operations to Ukraine.
Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated money for military actions. Russia declared a ceasefire for 3 days in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed to extend the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearming.
The summer negotiations between the USA, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has funds to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. To achieve these objectives, it is necessary to increase the size of the armed forces. An autumn draft into the army is expected in Russia, and fierce fighting is anticipated in winter, while in spring 2026, based on the results of military actions, it may be possible to sit down at the negotiating table.
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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?
2025-11-01 03:50:32
The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.
Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.
Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.
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What is Trump's plan to end the war in Ukraine really?
2024-11-09 13:49:13
Freezing the conflict for 20 years
Trump's advisers are considering a plan to end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, which involves freezing the front line, creating a demilitarized zone and abandoning Ukraine's bid to join NATO for 20 years in exchange for continued arms supplies. Trump intends to put pressure on Ukraine and Russia in the form of an ultimatum. Two of Trump's military advisers have offered to force Ukraine into peace talks, threatening to cut off arms supplies. At the same time, they said that Russia's refusal to negotiate would lead to increased support for Ukraine from the United States. A plan to resolve the conflict will be presented after the inauguration on January 20. In the meantime, Trump is considering various options presented by his advisers.
The problem will not be solved, but postponed for 20 years in order to restore and arm Ukraine. Signing peace on such terms is unacceptable for Russia.
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Will there be a war between the United States and Iran?
2024-01-31 06:55:26
Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base
Biden is in no hurry to issue a decree on an attack on Iranian facilities, but he is being pushed to war, there have already been 2 attacks on American bases.
For Americans, the consequences will be negative in the medium and long term. Iran can arrange for the United States to lose all energy supplies from the Middle East on the eve of the elections. Tehran has repeatedly blocked the Strait of Hormuz — and tankers loaded with Iraqi, Kuwaiti, and Saudi oil could not leave the Persian Gulf zone. And the Houthis continue to target shipping in the Bab el-Mandep Strait.
Now it's not up to Ukraine: How the US can get bogged down in a war with Iran
Iran has warned the United States: We will respond decisively to any attack
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