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When will the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine take place and why is Ukraine asking for a 30-day ceasefire?

Link Copy 2025-05-11 16:38:54

Prediction

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.

Reason

Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated funds for military actions. Russia declared a three-day ceasefire in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed extending the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearmament.

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.

Summer negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has the money to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. Achieving these goals will require an increase in the size of the armed forces. A military draft is expected in Russia in the fall, and fierce fighting is anticipated in the winter, with the possibility of sitting at the negotiating table in the spring of 2026, depending on the outcome of the military actions.

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Who can become a candidate for president of Iran?

Link Copy 2024-05-20 14:32:40

Prediction

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Reason

Ali Khamenei himself is very old and cannot become president. The new president must meet the interests of the supreme leader and Grand Ayatollah, 85-year-old Ali Khamenei. Therefore, the list of candidates will be formed from the interests of the current government, and then the people will choose from this list by voting.

Son of Ali Khamenei or son of Ibrahim Raisi

Iran will drop out of world events for 50 days, as it will be busy organizing elections. Israel must conduct an operation in Rafah within 50 days. After the change of the president, Iran's position towards Israel will remain the same. After the current Iranian president crashed in a helicopter, he will be temporarily replaced by First Vice President Mohammad Mohbera. The Speaker of the Mejlis, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, cannot be elected president, since it is he, the Vice-president, as well as the head of the country's judicial system, Gholam Hossein Mohseni Ejei, who is tasked with organizing the elections.

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Will Russia and Ukraine be able to make peace after Trump's ultimatum in 50 days?

Link Copy 2025-07-15 10:44:44

Prediction

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

Reason

Neither Ukraine nor Russia agrees to a peace treaty in the form that the West wants to see. If peace is concluded now, Ukraine will lose part of its territories, and Russia will receive a hostile country that, having recovered, will attack again. Therefore, the war will continue until a victorious end.

No, there may be attempts to make peace that will lead to nothing.

For some reason, Russia cannot understand and realize that if a country starts a war, it will have to go to the end. To the borders of Europe and even fight against NATO.

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Will sanctions be imposed against Israel?

Link Copy 2025-06-14 13:13:46

Prediction

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

Reason

The USA benefits from any deal. Peaceful: the USA, with the help of Israel, is pressuring Iran to reach a nuclear deal that prohibits Iran from enriching uranium and is only beneficial to the USA, as there are no restrictions placed on them. Or in the event of a war, the USA sells weapons to Israel.

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

According to agreements, Tehran committed to reducing its stockpile of enriched uranium, reconfiguring nuclear facilities, and allowing IAEA inspectors. In 2018, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the deal under President Donald Trump, reinstating strict sanctions. This led to Iran gradually abandoning its commitments. Negotiations on the nuclear deal were halted after the Israeli attack, although the U.S. allegedly gives Iran a second chance.

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