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When will the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine take place and why is Ukraine asking for a ceasefire for 30 days?

Link Copy 2025-05-11 16:38:54

Prediction

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the USA has again allocated money for military operations to Ukraine.

Reason

Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated money for military actions. Russia declared a ceasefire for 3 days in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed to extend the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearming.

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the USA has again allocated money for military operations to Ukraine.

The summer negotiations between the USA, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has funds to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. To achieve these objectives, it is necessary to increase the size of the armed forces. An autumn draft into the army is expected in Russia, and fierce fighting is anticipated in winter, while in spring 2026, based on the results of military actions, it may be possible to sit down at the negotiating table.

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

References
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What is China's strategy?

Link Copy 2023-03-09 08:35:06

Prediction

Displacing the United States from the position of the most powerful country in the world and creating a new world order

Reason

China will create new strategic partnership networks to replace the unequal system of U.S. alliances. China will become the most technologically advanced country in the world. China will build a first-class army. China will regain ideological and information control over the country.

Displacing the United States from the position of the most powerful country in the world and creating a new world order

It is no longer possible to hide military power and ambitions, and China faces the threat of an anti-Chinese coalition.

References

Accuracy 10

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What will happen if Youtube is banned in Russia?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Most users will switch to Yandex.Zen , RuTube, VK, OK, and analogs. Those who earned money by YouTube will leave Russia. Youtube will lose market share

Reason

Inability to control content and channel blocking

Most users will switch to Yandex.Zen , RuTube, VK, OK, and analogs. Those who earned money by YouTube will leave Russia. Youtube will lose market share

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