Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.
Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated funds for military actions. Russia declared a three-day ceasefire in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed extending the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearmament.

Summer negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has the money to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. Achieving these goals will require an increase in the size of the armed forces. A military draft is expected in Russia in the fall, and fierce fighting is anticipated in the winter, with the possibility of sitting at the negotiating table in the spring of 2026, depending on the outcome of the military actions.
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Yes, in 2025
The leaders of the EAEU countries reached an agreement in principle and approved the concept of a common hydrocarbon market from 2025. And this means that the price of hydrocarbons should be equal, and electronic trading will also have to be introduced. For Kazakhstan, this means an increase in the retail price of energy resources, because at the moment it has the lowest energy prices in comparison with its neighbors. Rising prices for everything will immediately cause a repeat of the riots, as was the case in 2022.

The riots in 2022 began due to the fact that electronic trading was introduced and someone bought up all the gas and the retail gas price doubled.
EAEU single oil and gas market: pros and cons
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If the Chinese government continues to allocate huge amounts of money, then yes.
China has proven that it can compete with American companies, and if you follow the same path, you can achieve superiority. However, Americans will have an advantage because English is easier, there is more data for training in the USA, because IT giants are mainly located in the USA, and there is also more money.

The giants of Silicon Valley demonstrate their belief that large-scale capacity building is the key to a breakthrough in the field of AI. However, the emergence of the Chinese company Deep Seek has called this approach into question.
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Because not everything depends on him.
Under Trump, the United States will no longer sponsor the war in Ukraine, but a peace treaty must be signed to end it. Russia will not do this with an illegitimate Ukrainian president. Therefore, first we need to hold elections in Ukraine. Then it is necessary to hold a referendum so that the people give up part of the territory in order to end the war. And only after that, peace negotiations will begin. That's about six months, the time limit that Trump has named.

Elections in Ukraine are scheduled for May 25. 5 months. 1 month is the inauguration. 1 month is the referendum. 1 month - negotiations. A total of 8 months.
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