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When will the offensive of Ukraine to Russia?

Link Copy 2023-05-01 09:46:44

Prediction

May 9, 2023

Reason

Ukraine has been announcing an offensive for a long time. April-May is the best time to attack.

May 9, 2023

Attempts to intensify hostilities on the part of Ukraine have been and will be, otherwise the Western elites cannot justify spending gigantic funds on its armament.

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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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Why is science not needed in Russia?

Link Copy 2023-09-30 11:58:10

Prediction

The state has no scientific tasks.

Reason

When a country is engaged in the sale of hydrocarbons, why do we need extra mouths in the form of scientists, if the money is already flowing.

The state has no scientific tasks.

Science is expensive, but near-science brings noticeably more money.

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What problems will China face due to Trump's tariffs?

Link Copy 2025-05-30 01:13:21

Prediction

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Reason

With his statements, Trump has already caused significant damage to China. Foreign companies will not invest in China due to high tariffs, particularly in the long term. Chinese companies themselves are planning to move their factories to neighboring countries. Small businesses are already facing problems. Warehouses are overflowing with goods, and there is no one to sell them to. Apple and Samsung are closing factories in China, which threatens unemployment.

In China, there will be an outflow of investments, bankruptcies of small businesses, unemployment, and unrest.

Even the court's decision to cancel the tariffs won't help. It will only be a delay. Yes, the tariffs will hit the US, but they will hit China harder.

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