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What are Russia's goals?

Link Copy 2023-05-09 14:02:11

Prediction

Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.

Reason

Although after the collapse of the USSR, Russia recognized the new geopolitical realities and strengthened cooperation with all states in the post-Soviet space, the conditions are such that some allied territories cannot remain without Russian military assistance or without the Russian market.

Putin wants to recreate the USSR in a new form, similar to the European Union.

Russia has many territories, but few sales markets

References

Accuracy 10

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Why can a war start in Kazakhstan as in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-06-12 02:08:31

Prediction

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Reason

The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood

References
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Is a nuclear escalation of the conflict and a third world war possible because of Russia and Ukraine in 2024-2025?

Link Copy 2024-10-15 11:14:58

Prediction

No

Reason

Tactical nuclear weapons are used in places where troops are concentrated. Russia can bomb Ukrainian troops and cities without nuclear weapons. If they are going to bomb Ukrainian cities with nuclear weapons, they take responsibility for the deaths of civilians and the consequences of the use of TNW. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be used as the last resort, in the event of a stalemate. But if Ukraine starts bombing Belarus, this will actually untie Russia's hands in the use of TNWs.

No

Neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war on each other. Shouts about the use of nuclear weapons are just political games, like shouts about the beginning of World War III. This is a reason to end the conflict and sit down at the negotiating table, if they continue to act in the same direction as now, the war could escalate into a confrontation with Europe with the use of TNWs.

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How will Russia react to attacks with long-range Western weapons?

Link Copy 2024-06-12 14:52:34

Prediction

Russia will supply weapons to the opponents of the West

Reason

The Russian President said that if Ukraine is allowed to strike Russian territory with long-range Western weapons, Russia will respond in the same way: it will supply its long-range weapons to forces that will strike countries that have given permission for attacks. The Kremlin does not name specific countries.

Russia will supply weapons to the opponents of the West

Russia cannot directly attack Western countries, because this will lead to a Third World War. Russia has little choice of countries: Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba and African countries. The first targets for the use of these weapons will be ships and a possible blockade of sea routes.

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