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How will the world economy change in the next 5 years?

Link Copy 2023-11-17 14:37:10

Prediction

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Reason

Because of the sanctions, Europe and the United States lost the Russian market, and it was occupied by companies from China. Many manufacturers have changed their minds about building their factories in Europe due to rising resource prices. Meanwhile, Russia is strengthening trade relations with India, China, Iran and creating new trade routes bypassing Europe.

The influence of Asian countries on the global economic market is expected to increase and the European market is expected to decline sharply.

Asia will surpass the USA and Europe

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How to speed up dedollarization?

Link Copy 2023-05-08 07:42:30

Prediction

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

Reason

If Beijing wants to make the yuan the world's reserve currency, then it will have to first go for financial liberalization. In theory, the dollar can also be replaced by a system that is not based on a specific national currency. In this case, gold or cryptocurrencies can become a universal means of payment.

Trade resources for local currencies, tie prices to gold or rare metals, trade only your own securities on the market, make the currency freely convertible

If investors begin to massively get rid of dollar assets and return the American currency to their homeland, this will provoke a surge in inflation in the United States and a potential debt crisis. The problems of the USA will spread to the financial markets, which are still dependent on the dollar, and will cause a new round of the global economic crisis.

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What will become of the dollar when it ceases to be a reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-10-14 07:58:37

Prediction

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

Reason

If the US dollar ceases to be the world's reserve currency, this will lead to a total collapse and collapse of the US economy, which is not far from the collapse of the country.

The same thing will happen to the dollar that is now happening to all other currencies that are now devalued against the dollar

Why is the status of the world reserve currency so important for the United States? This allows them to print dollars almost uncontrollably – if it causes currency devaluation in other powers, then everything is OK. Every time a state or a person buys a dollar, he takes on part of the US government debt.

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Will Deep Seek be able to overtake its American competitors?

Link Copy 2025-02-07 14:54:39

Prediction

If the Chinese government continues to allocate huge amounts of money, then yes.

Reason

China has proven that it can compete with American companies, and if you follow the same path, you can achieve superiority. However, Americans will have an advantage because English is easier, there is more data for training in the USA, because IT giants are mainly located in the USA, and there is also more money.

If the Chinese government continues to allocate huge amounts of money, then yes.

The giants of Silicon Valley demonstrate their belief that large-scale capacity building is the key to a breakthrough in the field of AI. However, the emergence of the Chinese company Deep Seek has called this approach into question.

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