In short, an increase in oil production
They are completely satisfied with the situation with the closure of the Ozmur Strait and the shortage of oil. The price ceiling has been set at $60 per barrel since the beginning of the year, but the closure of the strait increased the demand for oil to 100.

The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC, but did not withdraw, as participation in OPEC is still more profitable than exiting it.
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Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.
Russia, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan have agreed to launch a new multimodal Southern Transport Corridor, which will bypass the territory of Kazakhstan. The new route solves two tasks: to avoid obstacles arising on the Kazakh border for goods going to the markets of the Russian Federation, and to transfer part of the cargo flow to the port of Astrakhan. This will deal a blow to Astana's plans to make Kazakhstan a full-fledged transport hub in Central Asia and the Caspian region. The route from China through Kyrgyzstan will become a very serious competitor to the route on Kazakhstan railways.

Moreover, this blow to the plans of the President of Kazakhstan is inflicted from the Kazakh side, and not from Russia or Kyrgyzstan. If the transit of goods went without delays, then no one would be against using the territory of Kazakhstan as a hub. Astana's decision not to violate Western sanctions imposed against Russia was only a catalyst for the initiative to create an alternative transport corridor bypassing Kazakhstan
Russia bypasses Kazakhstan from the south
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In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.
The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?
A rapid large-scale purge or replacement of the elite with a new composition? What Is Putin's Choice?
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This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.
By 2045, the global IT market will become clearly concentrated, with several leading players and a high market share. It should be noted that the market may shrink by about 1.5‑3 times in terms of the number of active professionals, but at the same time the quality, complexity and value of these specialists will increase.

It is safe from the point of view of control not to go into AI, but it is almost guaranteed to lead to lagging behind and loss of market share, especially if competitors actively use AI. In a highly competitive world where speed and scale are important, not using AI can be worse than the risk of failures in its implementation.
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