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Will the global financial system collapse if the dollar is abandoned as a reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-04-11 14:46:57

Prediction

No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.

Reason

If the dollar ceases to be the dominant world currency, the US will lose significant economic influence on the world stage. This will weaken their geopolitical positions.

No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.

The absence of a worthy alternative to the dollar in international settlements has led to a distortion in the foreign exchange market, which is expressed in the fact that when the dollar rises in price, most of the world's reserve currencies become cheaper, and vice versa. The world of currency and financial markets, accustomed to such an order, may not be ready for the fact that the credibility of the American will ever be lost forever.

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Will the United States withdraw from NATO?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 09:21:56

Prediction

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027. There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

Reason

NATO will remain, but the role of the United States will change . The USA will: 1) maintain the nuclear umbrella and political leadership. NATO is turning from an American army in Europe into a coalition where the United States is the coordinator, not the main performer. 2)) Severe pressure on the allies. This is explicitly stated in the strategies. Tools: the requirement of 2% of GDP for defense, and in fact more, linking American aid to contributions, public pressure, including threats of we don't have to protect you. Europe pays and fights, the United States governs and supports. 3️) Shifting the focus to China 2025-2027 The USA will: build up the fleet and aviation in the Indo-Pacific region, reducing non-binding commitments in Europe, Japan, South Korea, Australia, and the Philippines are preparing allies. The United States needs Europe as a stable rear, not as the main theater of war. 4) Ukraine is a test model of the future of NATO. The United States tries not to fight directly . Maximum: money, weapon, intelligence service . We arm our allies, we don't fight ourselves.

There is no document where the United States commits to withdraw from NATO by 2027.
 There are strategies and projects where NATO is criticized and viewed as a burden, but this is not a decision to withdraw. The United States will remain in NATO as long as possible.

The US withdrawal from NATO: destroys the influence of the United States , frees Europe from dependence , hits the dollar and the military-industrial complex. It is much more profitable to stay , reduce costs , and maintain control . The final formula of the US strategy to remain in NATO, but to make it less American and more European. Maintain leverage without bearing the main burden.

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Is Dmitry Medvedev's forecast for 2023 correct?

Link Copy 2022-12-30 04:42:35

Prediction

No

Reason

There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

No

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.

References

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Which countries support Ukraine in 2023?

Link Copy 2023-04-13 09:40:07

Prediction

USA, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Finland, Canada, Netherlands, Portugal, Germany, Turkey.

Reason

These countries provide the main military, economic and media support to Ukraine.

USA, Spain, Sweden, Great Britain, Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Finland, Canada, Netherlands, Portugal, Germany, Turkey.

Against the backdrop of new threats, partner countries are increasing military support for Ukraine

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Accuracy 10

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