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Will the global financial system collapse if the dollar is abandoned as a reserve currency?

Link Copy 2023-04-11 14:46:57

Prediction

No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.

Reason

If the dollar ceases to be the dominant world currency, the US will lose significant economic influence on the world stage. This will weaken their geopolitical positions.

No, the US is only scary. Dedollarization is a long process.

The absence of a worthy alternative to the dollar in international settlements has led to a distortion in the foreign exchange market, which is expressed in the fact that when the dollar rises in price, most of the world's reserve currencies become cheaper, and vice versa. The world of currency and financial markets, accustomed to such an order, may not be ready for the fact that the credibility of the American will ever be lost forever.

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What awaits Europe in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-01-22 02:56:02

Prediction

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Reason

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

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Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

Link Copy 2025-08-21 17:20:51

Prediction

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Reason

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

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Who is next after Russia?

Link Copy 2023-05-21 13:25:47

Prediction

China

Reason

The US wants to freeze the conflict in Ukraine for 10 years and will deal with China. During the election campaign, Trump said that the main enemy of the United States, China and NATO, was only diverting forces, that the United States needed to leave NATO. After Biden, there will be Trump. A new alliance, AUKUS, has been devised to contain China.

China

The United States will leave NATO in 2025.

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