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Why is it only now that the United States has unfrozen space exploration programs after 50 years?

Link Copy 2023-04-17 14:36:42

Prediction

Because there are competitors

Reason

China plans to start manned flights to the moon and build a lunar base by 2030

Because there are competitors

China is a contender for winning the second lunar race (for the creation of the first lunar base and the resumption of manned flights to the moon after more than half a century of break) in case of failure or delay in similar plans of the United States, Russia, EU, Japan, India.

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When will humanity reach Earth-like planets?

Link Copy 2023-06-22 10:24:21

Prediction

In the year 2155

Reason

Before reaching an Earth-like planet, you need to build a ship capable of flying at speeds above the speed of light. For example, the distance to the closest Earth-like planet in 2023 is more than 300 light-years.

In the year 2155

According to some scientists, they only plan to pinpoint an Earth-like planet by 2055.

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Why is OpenAI buying up all the components?

Link Copy 2026-01-10 03:25:39

Prediction

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

Reason

In part, this destruction of competitors is not direct, but through economic and technological strangulation. OpenAI and Microsoft do not have to want to harm others - it is enough for them to maximize their progress, and the market itself will exclude the weak. The goal is that the future of AI is determined by 2-3 corporations, not a community of scientists, startups and public organizations.

In practice, large-scale purchases of GPUs and memory, buying up the best AI labs, and poaching top researchers are a powerful tool for eliminating competitors, especially small and medium-sized players.

The main threat is not from AI as a technology, but from the one who owns it.

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Why are so many wars happening right now?

Link Copy 2026-03-14 15:04:30

Prediction

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

Reason

Sometimes war is used to distract from internal problems. The struggle for resources (oil, gas, water, rare metals) intensifies. This is especially noticeable in regions with unstable politics. Very often wars begin when a country's leadership believes that victory will be quick and cheap. For example, Russia-Ukraine. Sometimes countries start a war when they believe the international situation is favorable to them. Like the USA-Iran or USA-Venezuela. Regional conflicts and escalation. Like India-Pakistan, Israel-Gaza Strip, Cambodian-Thai conflict, Afghan-Pakistani war.

Because of the recession, because of the expectation of quick victories, because of ambitions

After the end of the Cold War in 1991, the world became less predictable. Previously, two superpowers — the United States of America and the Soviet Union — restrained each other. Now several centers of power are emerging: China, Russia, the USA, regional powers like Iran and Turkey. When forces are distributed among many players, there are usually more conflicts.

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