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Whose Crimea is it?

Link Copy 2023-01-09 05:14:14

Prediction

The winner of the war will put an end to this matter

Reason

If the question of Crimea's belonging had been resolved, there would have been no war

The winner of the war will put an end to this matter

The issue has not been resolved yet

References

Accuracy 10

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Is democracy the power of the majority?

Link Copy 2023-10-05 08:29:15

Prediction

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Reason

Democracy is essentially an oligarchy (aristocracy). If earlier the aristocracy around the world made decisions without the participation of the masses (until the beginning of the twentieth century - if citizens had the right to vote, it was only on property, race and other parameters), now, thanks to political technologies, the same thing is happening, only on the basis of manipulation of the capital of the masses. In addition, no one teaches political literacy, and therefore the politically illiterate population chooses someone from the appointees of the elite by unfair voting.

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Only elites participate in the parliamentary process. Citizens of the state are allowed to vote for their chosen candidate, but ordinary people cannot participate in elections. In the end, only the ruling elite decides the various interests of the population of the state.

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Will there be a third World War over Russia and Ukraine?

Link Copy 2024-03-01 09:54:08

Prediction

No, it's just bullying.

Reason

Talking about World War III is just political leverage to demand money for Ukraine and drive it into debt. No one will fight for her. All the advantages are lost. The United States has problems: elections are coming, Texas, the Houthis and Israel. Russia has gained a foothold in Ukraine, and the element of surprise has been missed. The sanctions are hitting Europe itself. Discontent is growing. The EU population is being ripped off, and industry is being exported. The EU has barely agreed on an extension of assistance to Ukraine, and there is no chance of agreeing on the start of the deployment of troops.

No, it's just bullying.

In 2025, with Trump's victory, the EU will remain alone with Ukraine. And eventually it will fall apart, because few people will want to spend money on Ukraine sacrificing the economies of their countries.

References
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Is Russia coping with sanctions?

Link Copy 2024-10-17 11:29:14

Prediction

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Reason

The crisis did not happen as the West expected, but not everything is as rosy as the Russian government claims. Despite all the efforts to replace imports, everything is imported by a third, no matter how hard they try to produce their own. And it is unlikely that this figure will reach half in the near future.

The truth is somewhere in the middle

Due to sanctions, Russia is forced to conclude unprofitable contracts for itself in the long term and increase its dependence on China. The impact of sanctions would have been more significant if not for the global recession.

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