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What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

Link Copy 2023-04-28 12:35:05

Prediction

Bad personnel policy

Reason

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Bad personnel policy

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

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Will sanctions be imposed against Israel?

Link Copy 2025-06-14 13:13:46

Prediction

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

Reason

The USA benefits from any deal. Peaceful: the USA, with the help of Israel, is pressuring Iran to reach a nuclear deal that prohibits Iran from enriching uranium and is only beneficial to the USA, as there are no restrictions placed on them. Or in the event of a war, the USA sells weapons to Israel.

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

According to agreements, Tehran committed to reducing its stockpile of enriched uranium, reconfiguring nuclear facilities, and allowing IAEA inspectors. In 2018, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the deal under President Donald Trump, reinstating strict sanctions. This led to Iran gradually abandoning its commitments. Negotiations on the nuclear deal were halted after the Israeli attack, although the U.S. allegedly gives Iran a second chance.

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What will be the next president of Russia after Putin?

Link Copy 2023-09-28 09:49:18

Prediction

Politically weak

Reason

All talk about a successor is stopped, no one wants to even think about it. Preparations for the succession are not underway, which means that the new president will be chosen spontaneously and will protect the personal interests of the ruling elite, and not the whole country. The president from alternative parties will not be allowed to win.

Politically weak

Nothing will change in the country with the change of the president. The country will continue to sell energy resources abroad. The new president will make decisions based on personal gain, hiding behind the interests of the country.

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Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?

Link Copy 2026-01-06 13:06:05

Prediction

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Reason

Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.

No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.

Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.

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