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What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

Link Copy 2023-04-28 12:35:05

Prediction

Bad personnel policy

Reason

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Bad personnel policy

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

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What will be Russia's response to Trump's ultimatum?

Link Copy 2025-07-18 02:12:37

Prediction

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Reason

Judging by the data from the battlefield, Russia is advancing quite successfully in Ukraine and can reach any city, which affects the direct interests of the EU and the United States. The United States has already signed an agreement with Ukraine stating that its mineral resources belong to the United States. And the EU wants to transfer Ukraine to full financial management. If Russia does not stop, the plans of the United States and the EU can be forgotten. The EU threats and the US ultimatum indicate that Russia has reached a turning point in the war. If the West does not intervene, it will lose everything. That's why they're intervening.

Either declare war on Ukraine, or use new weapons.

Most likely, we are talking about some kind of demonstration of force on the part of Russia. On paper, the collective West is stronger than Russia, but Russia has 5,000 nuclear missiles, while the EU has only 300. Russia needs to be shown that its opinion must be taken into account. And, most likely, she will do it soon.

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When will power change in Belarus?

Link Copy 2023-05-29 12:51:22

Prediction

In 2025

Reason

Under the new government specially change the constitution.

In 2025

Lukashenka believes that a “normal, pragmatic” candidate will win the elections, while the opposition has no prospects. In other words, Lukashenka himself will choose a successor.

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What will happen to Syria after the change of power?

Link Copy 2024-12-10 14:02:16

Prediction

It will be divided

Reason

Numerous rebel groups control various parts of the country, and they all want their share of power. A civil war is expected. In addition, other states have interests in Syria.

It will be divided

Israel has already begun to divide Syria. The Israeli military captured several towns and villages, including Aarna, Bakassm, Rimeh, Hina, Qala, Jandal, al-Husseiniyah, Jita and al-Hashab south of Damascus. They now control the entire Golan Heights, including the Syrian side of Mount Hermon. They said that they would forever retain control over the Golan Heights. The new Syrian authorities have already sent an official appeal to the UN Security Council demanding an end to the aggressive actions of the Jewish state. Qatar, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Iran also condemned Israel's actions.

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