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When will the DXY dollar index fall below 100 points?

Link Copy 2023-05-08 12:08:20

Prediction

Mid 2024

Reason

Increasing transactions for the purchase of energy resources NOT for dollars. instability in Europe. The loss of US influence on world markets and the capture of world markets by China.

Mid 2024

In fact, the US dollar, euro, pound, etc. This is nonsense and fiction. There is really nothing behind these currencies. So the US government has nothing in reality, only the army and navy. Land in the US is owned by local municipalities, not by the government. Even the dollars that the United States pays for are owned by a private corporation - the Fed.

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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Will the U.S. Be Able to Isolate China?

Link Copy 2025-04-17 10:39:30

Prediction

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

Reason

The United States is trying to create an anti-Chinese coalition. The implementation of the American plan will fail due to the scale of the Chinese economy and the unwillingness of countries to act at the behest of the Americans. China opposes the escalation of the trade war and responds to the imposition of duties on its goods in the United States. China has also raised tariffs on U.S. products and imposed restrictions on mineral exports to the United States.

The United States has already missed China's development, and now no protective duties will help

The White House is seeking to force dozens of countries to abandon trade with China. The Americans are offering to strike a deal with Washington in exchange for lower import duties, but other countries are already benefiting more from trade with China than from U.S. trade

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What will be the consequences of the deal between Intel and Qualcomm?

Link Copy 2024-09-26 14:37:08

Prediction

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Reason

Even if Intel's management agrees, it will take several years for international regulators to approve the deal, and eventually Qualcomm itself will sink to the bottom.

The deplorable, desktop x64 processors will be destroyed, and only Arm will remain.

Intel is in a financial hole - in the first quarter of 2023, it posted a record net loss of almost $3 billion, and in the second quarter of 2024, it tried to repeat this achievement, bringing its net debt to $1.61 billion.

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