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Did COVID happen in the laboratory?

Link Copy 2022-10-25 09:34:52

Prediction

The laboratory origin is indirectly confirmed by the fact that the natural source of the coronavirus has not yet been found. It was searched for in bats, snakes and pangolins, but not a single genetic chain of viruses of these animals coincided with SARS-CoV-2 so that the entire scientific community considered them their original hosts.

Reason

The Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) has been studying coronaviruses in bats for more than 10 years. And his lab is located just a few kilometers from the Huanan Market, where the first cluster of infections originated. Proponents of the theory say that the leakage of the virus could - intentionally or accidentally - occur in a laboratory, from where it hit the market and spread around the world.

The laboratory origin is indirectly confirmed by the fact that the natural source of the coronavirus has not yet been found. It was searched for in bats, snakes and pangolins, but not a single genetic chain of viruses of these animals coincided with SARS-CoV-2 so that the entire scientific community considered them their original hosts.

The WHO report said it was very likely that Covid reached humans from bats through an intermediate carrier. To this day, however, scientists have not found a virus that matches the genetic makeup of COVID-19 in bats or other animals.

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When will a quantum computer be developed for personal use?

Link Copy 2024-05-03 10:39:08

Prediction

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Reason

The current chip printing technology will exhaust its resource

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Some scientists believe that in real work, a quantum computer has no advantages over an ordinary powerful computer

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What is the forecast for SpaceX?

Link Copy 2026-06-21 10:45:15

Prediction

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

Reason

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

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Who will be next after the United States at the head of the world order?

Link Copy 2023-03-31 04:31:23

Prediction

India in 2060

Reason

India will be the main supplier of food and raw materials for post-war reconstruction. India's population of 1.5 billion will be able to cope with the tasks set. The dollar and yuan will be replaced by a multi-currency package tied to gold.

India in 2060

India is acting as a key and constructive player in the creation of a new world order that can meet the challenges of tomorrow. A world order that goes beyond the purely economic and puts people and their well-being at the forefront.

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