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When will Africa be united?

Link Copy 2023-06-15 14:14:31

Prediction

In 2064

Reason

The African Union is fighting for the unification of Africa today. It is an intergovernmental organization that has been leading its history since 1963. The union includes all 55 countries of the Black Continent. It is planned to create three financial institutions: the African Central Bank (planned to be created by 2028), the African Monetary Fund, the African Investment Bank.

In 2064

So far, the association looks like the European Union

References
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When will the civil war in Syria end?

Link Copy 2023-04-02 14:37:30

Prediction

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Reason

At the moment, the Democrats do not want to withdraw troops from Syria. With the advent of a new Republican president, the situation will change.

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Syria is already starting to restore diplomatic relations with neighboring countries

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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What will happen if Kazakhstan raises the VAT rate?

Link Copy 2025-02-14 02:37:06

Prediction

These reforms, which the government is trying to implement, will further exacerbate the economic problems in the country.

Reason

The problem of budget deficits is solved by levying additional taxes, not by optimizing expenditures. The reforms that are supposed to improve the tax situation in the country will worsen the economic situation and lead to higher prices. The government itself is not only not planning to reduce its costs, but will also increase them following the growth.

These reforms, which the government is trying to implement, will further exacerbate the economic problems in the country.

The VAT increase will accelerate the depletion of the national fund from 10 years to 5 years.

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