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Will there be a war in Africa?

Link Copy 2023-09-08 14:40:01

Prediction

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

Reason

There were coups in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Gabon. African countries are simply tired of colonial Europe, which for centuries has used it only as cheap raw materials. The situation in Gabon will be of a special nature, there will be a great struggle for it, because it is a rich and oily country. And because of the coup in Niger, which now does not supply uranium for pennies, the entire nuclear industry in Europe is in danger of disappearing, and these are 56 nuclear power plants in France, 11 in Britain, 7 in Spain, 3 in Germany, 6 in the Czech Republic and about 40 more scattered elsewhere in Europe, according to Politico. So far, the matter is limited only to sanctions. France must withdraw troops by the end of the year.

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

If ECOWAS does start a war in Africa, then 218,000 bayonets will stand on the side of the West in the countries where it still has influence – the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Cape Verde, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone. They will be able to resist the armies of Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso and Guinea - a total of about 30 thousand troops. ECOWAS will make this mistake by carrying out a military intervention in Niger, because if they intervene militarily, it means that the whole of Africa will be at war and the problem is that 80% of the inhabitants in the countries where military coups have taken place support the current military government.

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Will there be a full-scale war between India and Pakistan?

Link Copy 2025-05-08 11:05:59

Prediction

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

Reason

A similar previous conflict in 2016 ended in 20 months with an agreement to fully implement the 2003 ceasefire agreement and stop cross-border shelling.

The current exchange of blows between the countries is another aggravation of the conflict between the countries, which will drag on for 2 years.

The Kashmir conflict led to tensions between the two countries, which generally persist to this day.

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Will the BRICS currency affect the US dollar?

Link Copy 2024-12-07 13:11:47

Prediction

Even if there is a currency, no one will abandon the dollar, the further dominance of the dollar depends on the United States itself.

Reason

Russia, China, India and other countries accept the dollar and do not plan to abandon it 100%, settlements are also carried out in terms of dollars. The well-being of the dollar depends on the United States itself, if they act from a position of strength, then the rejection of the dollar will accelerate and a new currency will be issued. The BRICS countries will be more active in expanding trade in national currencies, as the use of the dollar as a sanctions stick has undermined confidence in it

Even if there is a currency, no one will abandon the dollar, the further dominance of the dollar depends on the United States itself.

Most likely, the BRICS will have to abandon India. Since she does not like to trade for the yuan, she does not want to give up the dollar. Because of this, the decisions of the BRICS groups, including the creation of a currency, are very difficult, at least that's how it is presented in the news. If the BRICS currency is backed by real resources, including land and rare earth metals, Russia will regret it in the future. Because it will not be able to compete with China, which will eventually be able to demand land in exchange for currency.

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Why does the United States need a deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia?

Link Copy 2025-08-21 17:20:51

Prediction

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Reason

Following the talks, Armenia and Azerbaijan agreed to create a major transit corridor. Azerbaijan is currently modernizing the railway in the Nakhchivan Autonomous Republic at its own expense, and it is planned to build a railway in Armenia. The United States is not investing in this project. The expansion of US influence in this region could lead to the expansion of NATO's influence throughout the South Caucasus, which could become a wedge between Iran and Russia.

The result should be a transit corridor through the territory of 2 countries.

Armenia sells Russian gas as its own, bypassing sanctions. If the war ends and sanctions are lifted, this route will cease to be economically important, since Russia will be able to sell gas via other routes, but if we are talking about NATO expansion, then this is a completely different matter.

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