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Who will become the new German Chancellor?

Link Copy 2025-01-18 08:15:56

Prediction

Angela Merkel's heirs have the best chance so far - the CDU/CSU alliance nominates Friedrich Merz

Reason

Schulz will have to work hard to stay for a second term, as the SPD lags behind the CDU/CSU in popularity by almost half. AFD candidate Weidel is in second place.

Angela Merkel's heirs have the best chance so far - the CDU/CSU alliance nominates Friedrich Merz

The elections will be held on February 23, 2025.

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Will there be a war in Africa?

Link Copy 2023-09-08 14:40:01

Prediction

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

Reason

There were coups in Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso, and Gabon. African countries are simply tired of colonial Europe, which for centuries has used it only as cheap raw materials. The situation in Gabon will be of a special nature, there will be a great struggle for it, because it is a rich and oily country. And because of the coup in Niger, which now does not supply uranium for pennies, the entire nuclear industry in Europe is in danger of disappearing, and these are 56 nuclear power plants in France, 11 in Britain, 7 in Spain, 3 in Germany, 6 in the Czech Republic and about 40 more scattered elsewhere in Europe, according to Politico. So far, the matter is limited only to sanctions. France must withdraw troops by the end of the year.

Yes, the United States said that it did not intend to put up with the current state of affairs in Africa and would send troops. In addition, the African Union, the United States and France supported a military invasion of Niger. The war will be postponed until the U.S. deals with the war in Israel.

If ECOWAS does start a war in Africa, then 218,000 bayonets will stand on the side of the West in the countries where it still has influence – the Gambia, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Cape Verde, Liberia, Nigeria, Senegal and Sierra Leone. They will be able to resist the armies of Niger, Mali, Burkina Faso and Guinea - a total of about 30 thousand troops. ECOWAS will make this mistake by carrying out a military intervention in Niger, because if they intervene militarily, it means that the whole of Africa will be at war and the problem is that 80% of the inhabitants in the countries where military coups have taken place support the current military government.

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Why is Putin running for president for 3 consecutive terms, despite the constitutional ban for 2 consecutive terms?

Link Copy 2023-12-11 00:37:24

Prediction

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Reason

President Putin signed a law allowing him to run for two more presidential terms and rule Russia until 2036. The document was published on April 5, 2021 on the official portal of legal information and entered into force from the date of publication. Putin explained the changes in the constitution by the requirements of the time. In particular, the new basic law opened up the possibility of amending paragraph 5.1 of the law on presidential elections. Thus, the counter of Putin's presidential terms is canceled, and the main goal of the amendments is considered achieved.

After the amendments to the Constitution of Russia, the number of terms was reset. President Vladimir Putin has ensured that he can remain in power until 2036.

Putin will win the election with 74.9% of the vote.

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What will the US achieve with its demands regarding Greenland, Canada, and the like?

Link Copy 2026-02-05 06:12:50

Prediction

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Reason

The U.S. will not succeed in annexing Greenland, obtaining territorial concessions from Canada, or achieving a legitimate redrawing of borders, but even without purchasing territory, the U.S. can secure profitable contracts, expanded bases, and exclusive access to natural resources. In the long term, this will lead to a quiet distancing from Washington, an increase in autonomous defense policies in the EU and Canada, as well as a reduced willingness to automatically support the U.S. during crises. In 10-15 years, this could have repercussions in Asia, harm American interests at sea, and weaken the dollar as a 'currency of trust.'

The United States will achieve greater control, access to resources, increased military presence, and political dependence of its allies.

Canada and Denmark are soft allies who publicly express outrage but in practice give way. In doing so, the US itself is pushing the world toward the formula 'Better to have several centers of power than one unpredictable one.'

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