When will power change in Belarus?

2023-05-29 12:51:22

In 2025

Under the new government specially change the constitution.

Lukashenka believes that a “normal, pragmatic” candidate will win the elections, while the opposition has no prospects. In other words, Lukashenka himself will choose a successor.

Belarus has decided on the date of the referendum on the Constitution

Belarus has decided on the date of the referendum on the Constitution

When will Kazakhstan lose its sovereignty?

2023-02-11 12:23:08

In 2035

In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.

Devaluation will not help: how to give Kazakhstan the growing national debt? - Economists

Kazakhstan's national debt will eat a third of the country's revenues in 2023

Accuracy 20

What is Russia's path?

2023-09-27 09:43:10

First it will restore the USSR, then it will start a war with China.

After the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and the failed coup in Belarus in 2020, Russia realized that if nothing was done, the country would face war. Therefore, an association of countries like the European Union will be created. Belarus will be the first to enter it. Due to the sanctions in the country, almost the entire high-tech sector depends on supplies from China. With sanctions, high levels of corruption, high taxes and the elites' disinterest in change, Russia will not be able to resist the Chinese economy. Eventually, China will displace all competitors, including domestic companies, and will dominate the country. There is no progress in creating a competitive economy. Chinese specialists will move to the country en masse, displacing Russian specialists. When Russia tries to restrict China, China will act militarily.

Moscow takes all taxes for itself, and then distributes them by region. The regional elite is not at all interested in the growth of business in the regions, since its well-being depends on the ability to ask Moscow, and not on the growth of the number of enterprises. It is impossible to conduct business legally in the regions without paying bribes and fines. The legislation allows businesses to be blocked for 30 days in case of violations, so businesses pay bribes to avoid being blocked. A 47% tax and a 13% credit rate also do not contribute to business growth. Compared to the Chinese tax of 12% and the credit rate of 0.02%. Despite the fact that China spends money on cargo transportation, it is more profitable to produce and buy in China than in Russia.

The East is a delicate matter. The war has increased Russia's economic dependence on China

What does China mean for the Russian economy

What sanctions are supposed to be lifted from Russia upon signing the peace treaty?

2023-04-27 11:50:30

Restriction on flights and restriction on banking transactions

Even after the signing of the peace treaty, some restrictions may be lifted, but most of them will remain in place. Such a scenario will concern the most “painful” restrictions on Russia. That is, those that will influence the economic development of Russia.

Russia's relations with the West are unlikely to improve even after the conflict with Ukraine is over

Only part of the sanctions will be lifted

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