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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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What awaits Europe in 2025?

Link Copy 2025-01-22 02:56:02

Prediction

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Reason

Some European countries have large trade surpluses with the United States. Trump is demanding that Europe buy more American goods to smooth out this surplus. An increase in the number of American goods on the European market means the automatic displacement of European manufacturers, the potential bankruptcy of medium and small enterprises, their consolidation and monopolization by American multinational companies and, ultimately, the subordination of the European economy to the United States, which Europe, of course, will not agree to. Gas transit through Ukraine has been stopped, and Europe has lost almost its last gas source through the pipeline. The EU is purchasing Russian LNG at a record pace, and the United States is pushing its allies to ban it. The EU should increase purchases of American hydrocarbons, if the EU ignores this, it will receive protective duties on its products supplied to America. It will end with a shortage of fuel and another price increase. Trump also intends to increase the military spending of NATO countries to 5% of their GDP.

Quarrel with the United States, trade war, difficult economic situation, shortage of energy resources, rising unemployment

Trump is putting forward exorbitant demands on Europe, which will significantly affect military-economic cooperation between the United States and Europe in the direction of deterioration and cessation. Because of this, some countries will leave the EU in the future. Europe, in which every country will fight for its own well-being, will return.

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Why is the StarGate project being created?

Link Copy 2025-07-13 16:23:40

Prediction

This is an attempt to control all data on the planet, or at least to monopolize AI.

Reason

Access to computing power may become a new tool of influence on the world stage. Whoever controls AI controls data and decisions. Without such infrastructure, it is difficult to develop large language models, multimodal AIs, and generative platforms that are already beginning to change medicine, business, and science.

This is an attempt to control all data on the planet, or at least to monopolize AI.

STARGATE is a project for the construction of next-generation mega data centers. Their goal is to support the most powerful and resource-intensive AI systems in the world, such as ChatGPT, advanced video generation models, simulations, digital twins, and even future AGI.

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Who will be next after the United States at the head of the world order?

Link Copy 2023-03-31 04:31:23

Prediction

India in 2060

Reason

India will be the main supplier of food and raw materials for post-war reconstruction. India's population of 1.5 billion will be able to cope with the tasks set. The dollar and yuan will be replaced by a multi-currency package tied to gold.

India in 2060

India is acting as a key and constructive player in the creation of a new world order that can meet the challenges of tomorrow. A world order that goes beyond the purely economic and puts people and their well-being at the forefront.

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