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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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Comments 0

Does it even make sense to trust rating agencies?

Link Copy 2022-06-11 13:52:55

Prediction

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Reason

The company that is evaluated pays for the valuation. There is no transparent methodology for calculating the rating that can be verified. Rating agencies are not responsible for the ratings given. Geopolitical interests influence the ratings of agencies.

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Usually, rating agencies seriously overestimate ratings for the country they come from.

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Accuracy 40

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Why does the state not fight speculators in the stock market, because this is, in fact, fraud and air sales?

Link Copy 2023-10-16 08:49:08

Prediction

The speculator does not violate the law and pays taxes

Reason

If you remove the exchange mechanisms, you will have to think about giving something in return. And officials don't like to work. Moreover, taxes come from the exchange.

The speculator does not violate the law and pays taxes

The justification of the exchange is a very good mechanism in terms of fairness. Money flows there from the stupid to the smart, from the greedy to the moderate, from cowards to the persistent, from the nervous to the patient

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When will a strong earthquake happen in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-11-21 14:23:03

Prediction

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

Reason

The frequency of earthquakes in Almaty is 100-130 years. The last devastating earthquake was in 1911. There is a spontaneous development of the city with a formal check for earthquake resistance. The entire central part of Almaty is literally located on tectonic faults, some of which may be seismogenerating. Also, a metro is being built in the central part of Almaty, which actually blocks the course of underground water

In 2033 in the city of Almaty

In 2026, 45% of buildings will not be earthquake-resistant. The number of non-earthquake-resistant buildings will increase by 1.5% every 2 years

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