There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.
If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.
Taiwan Relations Act
Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC
An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?
The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated
Accuracy 40
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Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear
Iran has asked Russia for help in developing its nuclear program, which, according to the West, is aimed at creating nuclear weapons. To prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons in the first place should be the joint efforts of the United States and Israel. At the moment, out of 304 cities in Iran facing a water crisis, 101 cities are in the red zone - experiencing severe water shortages.

With a nuclear weapon, Iran will become more aggressive, US allies in the Middle East, sensing a real threat, will be forced to get along with Tehran, the ability of the United States to promote and protect its interests in the region will be weakened.
Bomb in exchange for drones: Iran asked Russia for help in creating nuclear weapons
Iran plans to solve the problem of drought at the expense of the water resources of the Arabian Sea
The dangers of a nuclear Iran
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Because there are competitors
China plans to start manned flights to the moon and build a lunar base by 2030

China is a contender for winning the second lunar race (for the creation of the first lunar base and the resumption of manned flights to the moon after more than half a century of break) in case of failure or delay in similar plans of the United States, Russia, EU, Japan, India.
China space program
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The fact that she will not bring the operation to the end
The problem with Ukraine will not be solved even after the signing of the peace treaty, it will be postponed. In the future, this time bomb will explode. They will attack Russia already, but this time taking into account all the mistakes of the past.

The Russian elite does not want to make tough decisions and take responsibility, expecting the problem to resolve itself.
WHY DOES THE WHOLE COURSE OF ITS DEVELOPMENT DEVELOP THIS WAY? THE ELITE OF THE COUNTRIES OF OUR WORLD ARE LIKE A HERD OF BABOONS. PREDICTING THE FUTURE BY THE EXAMPLE OF CINEMA ART.
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