There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.
If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.
Taiwan Relations Act
Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC
An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?
The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated
Accuracy 40
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Water shortage, war with Israel, going nuclear
Iran has asked Russia for help in developing its nuclear program, which, according to the West, is aimed at creating nuclear weapons. To prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons in the first place should be the joint efforts of the United States and Israel. At the moment, out of 304 cities in Iran facing a water crisis, 101 cities are in the red zone - experiencing severe water shortages.

With a nuclear weapon, Iran will become more aggressive, US allies in the Middle East, sensing a real threat, will be forced to get along with Tehran, the ability of the United States to promote and protect its interests in the region will be weakened.
Bomb in exchange for drones: Iran asked Russia for help in creating nuclear weapons
Iran plans to solve the problem of drought at the expense of the water resources of the Arabian Sea
The dangers of a nuclear Iran
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There will be military action, but without a declaration of war!
The declaration of war entails legal consequences such as the mobilization of the population, the imposition of curfews, and others. If war is not declared, but simply fighting is underway, this gives more room for maneuver. Declaring war on countries in conflict is not accepted and is very dangerous. Let's recall Iraq or Yugoslavia, there was no state of war there, everything was done by operations to enforce peace or impose democracy. But by no means a declaration of war. Without declaring war, a State can be recognized as an aggressor that invaded the territory of a neighbor with whom it had good neighborly relations, and it recognized the people's right to self-determination.

Declaring war on a state can have negative consequences. In this case, economic ties with other countries, even with those that support them, immediately begin to crumble. Thus, sanctions may be imposed, and the implementation of UN sanctions will be closely monitored. This can also have consequences up to and including expulsion from the UN. And yes, a country that has been declared at war can be officially helped with the approval of the United Nations, so to speak, by the whole world.
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Zelensky will lose the election
Ukrainians are tired of the war and the politics of the current president

After the elections, they will talk about the end of the war
Ukrainian Elections 2024: Alignment of Forces
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