There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.
If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.
Taiwan Relations Act
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The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated
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ID2020 is an electronic identification program aimed at involving every person on Earth in this process.
The project is supported by the United Nations, and is part of the initiative Sustainable Development Goals 2030, according to which by 2030 it is planned to provide all people on the planet with a digital ID. In addition to UN structures, Microsoft, Accenture, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Cisco Systems participate.

Currently, ID2020 is being tested in two countries at once - Thailand and Indonesia, and in the first it is tested on residents of a refugee camp from Myanmar.
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Pelosi will visit Taiwan. After that, there will be no military conflict, China's military presence near the island will be increased, and US-Chinese relations will deteriorate.
Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijiang said such a visit would seriously undermine China's sovereignty and territorial integrity, seriously affect the foundation of Sino-American relations, and send the wrong signal to taiwan's independence forces. China has privately warned the Biden administration of the possible military consequences of Pelosi's decision to visit Taiwan.

At the moment, China has already banned the sale of some products from Taiwan due to the trip.
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Accuracy 60
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The situation may improve only in 2024.
Supplies from Russia are limited due to sanctions. Other exporters will not be able to increase supplies in time.

We should not expect any improvement in the next year
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