What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

2022-10-21 11:05:58

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

Taiwan Relations Act

Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC

An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?

The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated

Accuracy 40

Is a nuclear escalation of the conflict and a third world war possible because of Russia and Ukraine in 2024-2025?

2024-10-15 11:14:58

No

Tactical nuclear weapons are used in places where troops are concentrated. Russia can bomb Ukrainian troops and cities without nuclear weapons. If they are going to bomb Ukrainian cities with nuclear weapons, they take responsibility for the deaths of civilians and the consequences of the use of TNW. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be used as the last resort, in the event of a stalemate. But if Ukraine starts bombing Belarus, this will actually untie Russia's hands in the use of TNWs.

Neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war on each other. Shouts about the use of nuclear weapons are just political games, like shouts about the beginning of World War III. This is a reason to end the conflict and sit down at the negotiating table, if they continue to act in the same direction as now, the war could escalate into a confrontation with Europe with the use of TNWs.

Will there be a war between Iran and Israel?

2024-04-19 15:30:36

Iran and Israel will continue to exchange blows, but it will not come to a third world war.

Neither Iran nor Israel is interested in a full-scale conflict. In Tel Aviv itself, many are annoyed by the result of the Israeli strike on the Iranian embassy in Syria, when Iranian generals were killed under fire. Iran was ready to forgive the attack in exchange for the condemnation of Israel by the world community. Since this did not happen, Iran, in turn, responded to these actions with a missile attack on Israel a week ago, demonstrating to the whole world its advanced weapons, and at the same time the vulnerability of the Israeli Iron Dome air defense system.

Israel is in a more difficult position because six months of war with Hamas have not brought results. It is surrounded on all sides — Rafah, the Palestinian settlement, the Houthis and plus the Iranian problem. But fundamental changes in the region will not happen before the US elections. The elections will be held in November 2024. The United States has introduced 2 aircraft carriers into the region.

Why haven't Russia's assets abroad been confiscated yet?

2024-02-27 07:45:57

Countries that do not have Russian assets are most in favor of the confiscation of Russian assets. The investment climate in the world will deteriorate even due to the creation of a precedent.

No one will invest in a country that takes away other people's assets.

Countries that do not have Russian assets are most in favor of the confiscation of Russian assets. The investment climate in the world will deteriorate even due to the creation of a precedent.

It became known why the West has not yet confiscated Russian assets