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What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-10-21 11:05:58

Prediction

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

Reason

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

References

Accuracy 40

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What is Kazakhstan's path?

Link Copy 2023-08-26 13:27:31

Prediction

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

Reason

At the moment, in all high-ranking positions there are delitants who do not understand anything in their business. There is no struggle with the first president's henchmen. Loans are being actively taken from China. Agreements are being concluded on visa-free visits by Chinese to Kazakhstan. Relations with neighboring Russia are deteriorating to please the Americans. The economy is being destroyed by raising prices for price-forming resources like water and electricity. Resource-producing enterprises and lands are being sold.

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

There will be no changes for the better before the end of the current president's term. And the next president simply will not be able to solve all the accumulated problems.

References
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Why do IT giants still continue to violate the law despite large fines?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Until a criminal investigation begins against the company executives, the violations will not stop.

Reason

Profit more than covers all overhead costs

Until a criminal investigation begins against the company executives, the violations will not stop.

Who will be the German chancellor in 2025?

Link Copy 2023-07-09 14:32:54

Prediction

The CDU/CSU candidate will be the chancellor

Reason

According to the Civey Institute for Public Opinion Research, more than 40 percent of Germans believe that former German Chancellor Angela Merkel would be better able to cope with the current challenges as head of government than Scholz.

The CDU/CSU candidate will be the chancellor

Parties are losing popularity because of the difficult situation in the economy: the welfare of citizens is falling against a background of 10% inflation caused by rising energy prices. All the problems will be blamed on the current chancellor.

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