What happens if China starts a war with Taiwan?

2022-10-21 11:05:58

There is a 30% chance that China will launch military operations. After Pelosi's visit, China's maneuvers resulted in an economic blockade of Taiwan.

If war breaks out, China will fight against Taiwan, America, Japan and Nato. India may join the conflict. China can seize the island by force, but it will be an empty island destroyed by war, which will have to be rebuilt. Sanctions will be imposed on China. Because of the sanctions, all of China's economic and scientific successes will be nullified. China is also monitoring the outcome of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.

And what Taiwan is preparing for. The 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China is about to take place, where very serious decisions on Taiwan can be made. Therefore, Taiwan shows in advance that it is ready for negotiations.

Taiwan Relations Act

Like Huawei, but only for everyone: the US has tightened sanctions on the sale of semiconductors to China. What does this threaten the PRC

An island of discord. How does the conflict between the US and China over Taiwan risk depriving the whole world of familiar goods?

The danger of the approach of China's military equipment to Taiwan was appreciated

What is Kazakhstan's path?

2023-08-26 13:27:31

The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.

At the moment, in all high-ranking positions there are delitants who do not understand anything in their business. There is no struggle with the first president's henchmen. Loans are being actively taken from China. Agreements are being concluded on visa-free visits by Chinese to Kazakhstan. Relations with neighboring Russia are deteriorating to please the Americans. The economy is being destroyed by raising prices for price-forming resources like water and electricity. Resource-producing enterprises and lands are being sold.

There will be no changes for the better before the end of the current president's term. And the next president simply will not be able to solve all the accumulated problems.

The path of Kazakhstan after the quarrel with Russia: quick death or quiet extinction?

Will rallies be repeated in Kazakhstan?

2023-06-08 08:35:38

Yes, in 2025

The leaders of the EAEU countries reached an agreement in principle and approved the concept of a common hydrocarbon market from 2025. And this means that the price of hydrocarbons should be equal, and electronic trading will also have to be introduced. For Kazakhstan, this means an increase in the retail price of energy resources, because at the moment it has the lowest energy prices in comparison with its neighbors. Rising prices for everything will immediately cause a repeat of the riots, as was the case in 2022.

The riots in 2022 began due to the fact that electronic trading was introduced and someone bought up all the gas and the retail gas price doubled.

EAEU single oil and gas market: pros and cons

Is Dmitry Medvedev's forecast for 2023 correct?

2022-12-30 04:42:35

No

There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.

Before the new year, everyone likes to make predictions

Medvedev published forecasts for 2023 with the partition of Poland and the collapse of the EU

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