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How will Russia respond to attacks with long-range Western weapons?

Link Copy 2024-06-12 14:52:34

Prediction

Russia will supply weapons to the enemies of the West

Reason

The President of Russia stated that if Ukraine is allowed to strike Russian territory with Western long-range weapons, Russia will respond in kind: it will supply its own long-range weapons to the forces that strike the countries that allowed the attacks. The Kremlin does not name specific countries.

Russia will supply weapons to the enemies of the West

Russia cannot directly attack Western countries because it would lead to World War III. Russia's choice of countries is limited: Iran, North Korea, Venezuela, Cuba, and African countries. The first targets for the use of this weapon will be ships and a possible blockade of sea routes.

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What to expect from Trump?

Link Copy 2024-11-29 08:40:09

Prediction

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Reason

If the U.S. imposes tariffs of 60 percent on all imports from China and raises tariffs on imports from other countries, lowers personal and corporate taxes, and deports millions of illegal immigrants, we can expect lower U.S. output, increased inflationary pressures, and increased market volatility. The U.S. economy has a strong impact on the global economy because of its size: the U.S. accounts for more than a quarter of global GDP. As a result, in the next three years, the growth rate of the world economy will decline by 2-3% per year. With global GDP growing at about 3% per year, it can be assumed that the world will stagnate at best and recession at worst.

Trump will impose his demands and end up quarreling with everyone. He has not yet taken office, but has already promised to raise duties on non-American goods. He is expected to resolve the conflict in Ukraine, reduce spending, and escalate the trade war with China. European interests will be completely ignored.

Most likely, after his rule, few people will talk to America. Non-U.S. companies will have to look for other markets because they will be pressured by tariffs. South Korea is already subsidizing its chip companies due to the start of Trump's rule.

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What will an armed conflict between Cambodia and Vietnam lead to?

Link Copy 2025-07-26 14:55:59

Prediction

In the near future, the clash will be rolled back to its previous state – to the beginning of the shelling.

Reason

The armies of both countries are not ready for a major war. It is not beneficial for the sides to continue the conflict, as their economies rely on tourism, and it will soon be resolved.

In the near future, the clash will be rolled back to its previous state – to the beginning of the shelling.

Thailand is a highly pro-American country and has been supported by the US since the Vietnam War. As for Cambodia, it is within China's sphere of influence. US-China relations are currently at a stage of increasing tension; the trade war has been set aside but is by no means over, and there is a noticeable escalation in the situation in Taiwan and the South China Sea. Therefore, Cambodia decided that China will support it now.

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When will the civil war in Syria end?

Link Copy 2023-04-02 14:37:30

Prediction

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Reason

At the moment, the Democrats do not want to withdraw troops from Syria. With the advent of a new Republican president, the situation will change.

In 2025. US to withdraw troops from Syria

Syria is already starting to restore diplomatic relations with neighboring countries

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