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Will Deep Seek be able to overtake its American competitors?

Link Copy 2025-02-07 14:54:39

Prediction

If the Chinese government continues to allocate huge amounts of money, then yes.

Reason

China has proven that it can compete with American companies, and if you follow the same path, you can achieve superiority. However, Americans will have an advantage because English is easier, there is more data for training in the USA, because IT giants are mainly located in the USA, and there is also more money.

If the Chinese government continues to allocate huge amounts of money, then yes.

The giants of Silicon Valley demonstrate their belief that large-scale capacity building is the key to a breakthrough in the field of AI. However, the emergence of the Chinese company Deep Seek has called this approach into question.

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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When will cargo transportation through the Suez Canal resume?

Link Copy 2023-12-30 12:45:12

Prediction

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Reason

A military operation will be carried out, which will lead to nothing. Negotiations will begin when the president in the United States changes.

In 2025, due to the aggravation of the situation in the Middle East.

Shelling the Houthi camps will not reduce, but increase the risks.

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When will the DXY dollar index fall below 100 points?

Link Copy 2023-05-08 12:08:20

Prediction

Mid 2024

Reason

Increasing transactions for the purchase of energy resources NOT for dollars. instability in Europe. The loss of US influence on world markets and the capture of world markets by China.

Mid 2024

In fact, the US dollar, euro, pound, etc. This is nonsense and fiction. There is really nothing behind these currencies. So the US government has nothing in reality, only the army and navy. Land in the US is owned by local municipalities, not by the government. Even the dollars that the United States pays for are owned by a private corporation - the Fed.

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