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Is it worth being afraid that robots will take jobs?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Robots will replace 40% of jobs in the next 15 years in developed countries

Reason

These technologies have brought numerous benefits such as:•Higher productivity.•Better GDP growth.•Improved performance.

Robots will replace 40% of jobs in the next 15 years in developed countries

All forecasts concern only developed countries

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What Happens After Trump's Tariffs Are Imposed?

Link Copy 2025-04-04 15:57:43

Prediction

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

Reason

The GDP of the United States (24%) is almost a quarter of the world GDP. The United States has an impact on the entire world economy. International trade in 50% of cases is conducted in dollars. If the U.S. buys less because of tariffs, it will cause a downturn in the entire global economy in the short term. In the long term, confidence in the U.S. and the dollar will fall, and the focus will shift to China and the yuan as the world's second-largest economy. This whole process will be painful and will be accompanied by massive cost cuts, optimization of business processes, layoffs and closure of enterprises. The United States itself will suffer greatly and will not be able to recover from such a policy, since its factories are distributed around the world and depend on the supply of components and raw materials.

A global recession is expected. Mass layoffs and cost cuts will begin.

From April 3, 2025, 25% duties on car imports will come into effect, and by May 3, 2025, on auto parts manufactured outside the United States. From April 5, 2025, the minimum basic customs duty of 10% will come into force. From April 9, 2025, the rest of the tariffs will come into effect. The minimum base tariff of 10% will be applied to all countries. Most likely, this will all end after Trump's change as president in 2029. On April 8, Trump introduced a 3-month delay for those countries that did not impose retaliatory tariffs.

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When will Russia run out of oil for export?

Link Copy 2023-10-09 03:18:52

Prediction

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Reason

Russian Energy Minister Novak noted in 2018 that oil production in Russia, in the absence of incentives, could fall by 44% by 2035. Taking into account the coronavirus infection in 2019 and sanctions, these deadlines have shifted to 2040.

If production rates are not reduced and new deposits are not discovered, then in 2040

Russia has one of the highest taxes on the oil industry in the world, which makes it difficult to stimulate production.

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What will happen at the BRICS meeting?

Link Copy 2023-06-13 08:15:07

Prediction

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

Reason

The BRICS Bank intends to finance more projects in national currencies to strengthen the local market and protect borrowers from the risk of currency fluctuations. Currently, the share of relevant projects in national currency in the bank's total project portfolio is about 22%, the NBR president said, adding that the bank intends to increase this figure to 30%. Currently, five BRICS countries are members of the EBRD, as well as Bangladesh, the United Arab Emirates and Egypt. Uruguay is already in the process of joining.

Expansion and increase in the share of the NDB

The BRICS summit will be followed by a powerful geopolitical shock wave for which the world will not be ready. The Western world will not be ready.

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