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Will there be a war between the United States and Iran?

Link Copy 2024-01-31 06:55:26

Prediction

Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base

Reason

Biden is in no hurry to issue a decree on an attack on Iranian facilities, but he is being pushed to war, there have already been 2 attacks on American bases.

Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base

For Americans, the consequences will be negative in the medium and long term. Iran can arrange for the United States to lose all energy supplies from the Middle East on the eve of the elections. Tehran has repeatedly blocked the Strait of Hormuz — and tankers loaded with Iraqi, Kuwaiti, and Saudi oil could not leave the Persian Gulf zone. And the Houthis continue to target shipping in the Bab el-Mandep Strait.

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Comments 0

Is democracy the power of the majority?

Link Copy 2023-10-05 08:29:15

Prediction

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Reason

Democracy is essentially an oligarchy (aristocracy). If earlier the aristocracy around the world made decisions without the participation of the masses (until the beginning of the twentieth century - if citizens had the right to vote, it was only on property, race and other parameters), now, thanks to political technologies, the same thing is happening, only on the basis of manipulation of the capital of the masses. In addition, no one teaches political literacy, and therefore the politically illiterate population chooses someone from the appointees of the elite by unfair voting.

No, 51% is more than half, but it's not an absolute 3/4 majority.

Only elites participate in the parliamentary process. Citizens of the state are allowed to vote for their chosen candidate, but ordinary people cannot participate in elections. In the end, only the ruling elite decides the various interests of the population of the state.

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When will Africa be united?

Link Copy 2023-06-15 14:14:31

Prediction

In 2064

Reason

The African Union is fighting for the unification of Africa today. It is an intergovernmental organization that has been leading its history since 1963. The union includes all 55 countries of the Black Continent. It is planned to create three financial institutions: the African Central Bank (planned to be created by 2028), the African Monetary Fund, the African Investment Bank.

In 2064

So far, the association looks like the European Union

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Why can a war start in Kazakhstan as in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-06-12 02:08:31

Prediction

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Reason

The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood

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