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Will there be a war between the United States and Iran?

Link Copy 2024-01-31 06:55:26

Prediction

Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base

Reason

Biden is in no hurry to issue a decree on an attack on Iranian facilities, but he is being pushed to war, there have already been 2 attacks on American bases.

Yes, the United States believes that it must avenge the attack on the American base

For Americans, the consequences will be negative in the medium and long term. Iran can arrange for the United States to lose all energy supplies from the Middle East on the eve of the elections. Tehran has repeatedly blocked the Strait of Hormuz — and tankers loaded with Iraqi, Kuwaiti, and Saudi oil could not leave the Persian Gulf zone. And the Houthis continue to target shipping in the Bab el-Mandep Strait.

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What is the hidden problem of the race for artificial intelligence?

Link Copy 2024-09-28 05:11:05

Prediction

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

Reason

All companies rushed to create their own or implement artificial intelligence in their products, but this amount of artificial intelligence is simply not needed now. The AI market has a limit, and everyone behaves as if there is no limit

The impact of artificial intelligence is overestimated

For example, Intel, instead of tackling specific demand problems, focused on artificial intelligence, and ends up with $1.6 billion in debt by 2024. And it's not the only company

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Will there be an escalation of the conflict between the PRC and Taiwan?

Link Copy 2023-03-13 14:30:11

Prediction

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

Reason

The United States does not intend to fight for Taiwan, the treaty of assistance to Taiwan from the United States boils down to the imposition of embargoes and sanctions. The U.S. tried to escalate the conflict and only impose sanctions. Taiwan's ruling party lost the local election.

No, China has decided to annex Taiwan peacefully

China decides to annex Taiwan peacefully

References

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How does the United States benefit from the war?

Link Copy 2026-01-03 09:46:51

Prediction

The weakening of Russia as a geopolitical rival, the severing of Europe's energy and political ties with Russia, the increasing dependence of Europe on the United States in the field of security and resources, the growth of exports of American weapons and energy resources, the strengthening of US leadership in NATO and the demonstration of global influence without direct participation in hostilities.

Reason

US benefits from the end of the war: consolidating achieved results (a weakened Russia, Europe tied to the US, Ukraine in the Western sphere), reducing financial and political costs, lowering the risk of direct escalation, stabilizing the global economy, and the opportunity to focus on a more priority rival—China, while retaining the role of key global arbiter.

The weakening of Russia as a geopolitical rival, the severing of Europe's energy and political ties with Russia, the increasing dependence of Europe on the United States in the field of security and resources, the growth of exports of American weapons and energy resources, the strengthening of US leadership in NATO and the demonstration of global influence without direct participation in hostilities.

Other countries also benefit from conflict, but the difference is that the United States has more resources, more influence, and more severe consequences from any crisis.

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