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Why can't Trump end the war in one day?

Link Copy 2025-01-15 02:53:54

Prediction

Because not everything depends on him.

Reason

Under Trump, the United States will no longer sponsor the war in Ukraine, but a peace treaty must be signed to end it. Russia will not do this with an illegitimate Ukrainian president. Therefore, first we need to hold elections in Ukraine. Then it is necessary to hold a referendum so that the people give up part of the territory in order to end the war. And only after that, peace negotiations will begin. That's about six months, the time limit that Trump has named.

Because not everything depends on him.

Elections in Ukraine are scheduled for May 25. 5 months. 1 month is the inauguration. 1 month is the referendum. 1 month - negotiations. A total of 8 months.

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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

References

Accuracy 20

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Will sanctions be imposed against Israel?

Link Copy 2025-06-14 13:13:46

Prediction

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

Reason

The USA benefits from any deal. Peaceful: the USA, with the help of Israel, is pressuring Iran to reach a nuclear deal that prohibits Iran from enriching uranium and is only beneficial to the USA, as there are no restrictions placed on them. Or in the event of a war, the USA sells weapons to Israel.

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

According to agreements, Tehran committed to reducing its stockpile of enriched uranium, reconfiguring nuclear facilities, and allowing IAEA inspectors. In 2018, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the deal under President Donald Trump, reinstating strict sanctions. This led to Iran gradually abandoning its commitments. Negotiations on the nuclear deal were halted after the Israeli attack, although the U.S. allegedly gives Iran a second chance.

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When will a quantum computer be developed for personal use?

Link Copy 2024-05-03 10:39:08

Prediction

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Reason

The current chip printing technology will exhaust its resource

A fundamentally new chip manufacturing technology will be developed by 2040

Some scientists believe that in real work, a quantum computer has no advantages over an ordinary powerful computer

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