When will the AI bubble burst?

2025-12-14 07:43:49

In 2031.

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

What are the strategic mistakes of Russia?

2023-04-21 08:50:24

Continuation of the resource-based economy model, the beginning of the NWO and the return of the market to China, management without a clear and precise development strategy for the long term.

The Russian elite preferred to keep its cozy little world of “cuts”, “reforms” and “kickbacks”, content with the status of a raw material appendage of the West and China. The NWO turned out to be poorly prepared, not adequately provided with reserves. The problems it has to deal with will only be delayed, not fully resolved. Russia will not be able to fully control Ukraine, and even after the signing of peace, the threat of an attack by Ukraine will remain.

In the long term, these factors will hit Russia very hard.

Putin's Five Strategic Mistakes

Three strategic mistakes of Russia in matters of power and economy, and ways to correct them.

Putin's 7 Strategic Mistakes

Will there be peace between Russia and Ukraine in 2025?

2025-04-24 15:37:00

Negotiations will be postponed for a year

Peace negotiations will begin when countries have something to lose, for example, Russia begins to occupy Kharkiv or ends up at the European borders. So far, none of the parties to the conflict is ready to accept the conditions. And there is not even any basis for compromise. For example, it is not profitable for Russia to make a buffer zone in Ukraine, because there are missiles whose range exceeds the entire territory of Ukraine. And time is now on Russia's side, it can seize even more territory.

In peace talks, Europe and Ukraine will have to admit that they have lost the war and make concessions, but they are not ready for this. The recognition of Crimea as Russian and the issue of Ukraine's membership in NATO have become red lines that Europe cannot cross.

What will be the consequences of the war?

2024-06-19 07:49:13

Europe will be left without resources. The collapse of the EU. The loss of U.S. influence. The Beginning of China's Growth

After the collapse of the USSR, Europe gained access to Russian resources for a song, actually selling goods made from Russian resources to Russia. Now, if Russia wins, relations with Europe will deteriorate, it will not receive resources, and China has already received the Russian market at no cost, European companies themselves left it without a fight. In addition, Europe will have to rebuild Ukraine, because it was Europe and the United States that pushed it to war. Many people in the EU will not like it, and they will start leaving the European Union. Becoming poorer, Europe will buy fewer goods, including American ones. Russia will begin to recover at the expense of the former Soviet republics. China will grow.

If Russia loses, it will be plundered.