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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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Why is Microsoft rewriting all its code in Rust?

Link Copy 2024-05-13 06:09:24

Prediction

To simplify development methods and reduce costs

Reason

C programmers are expensive and there are few of them. Moreover, they can leave for competitors. Meanwhile, the new RUST language allows writing safe code and hiring cheap beginners, which makes development easier and cheaper.

To simplify development methods and reduce costs

The company is structured in such a way that if programmers do nothing, they don't get paid. The KPI is low because it is calculated based on the number of lines of code written. That's why they love rewriting the same thing 100 times to increase their KPI.

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When will the next pandemic be?

Link Copy 2023-03-21 07:42:19

Prediction

WHO will try to introduce the next lockdown in 10 years. But such a trick will not succeed again, and all the organizers and those involved will be imprisoned in 2034.

Reason

This is already being said by Bill Gates, who is a sponsor of the WHO and owns shares in most of the large pharmaceutical companies that benefit from the pandemic.

WHO will try to introduce the next lockdown in 10 years. But such a trick will not succeed again, and all the organizers and those involved will be imprisoned in 2034.

Most likely, biological weapons are already being developed, and there is a more deadly virus, since they are talking about it.

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What is the likely target for Russia's atomic weapons?

Link Copy 2023-11-26 14:03:59

Prediction

Norfolk and Newport News

Reason

American nuclear aircraft carriers are rigidly tied to one place. These are Norfolk (Virginia), the largest naval base in the world, and Newport News (shipyard B with three giant slipways-one for construction and two for repair), on the other side of the Bay, where they are being built and seriously repaired.

Norfolk and Newport News

The time of the floating giants will end

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