When will the AI bubble burst?
2025-12-14 07:43:49
In 2031.
Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.
Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.
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Who is next after Russia?
2023-05-21 13:25:47
China
The US wants to freeze the conflict in Ukraine for 10 years and will deal with China. During the election campaign, Trump said that the main enemy of the United States, China and NATO, was only diverting forces, that the United States needed to leave NATO. After Biden, there will be Trump. A new alliance, AUKUS, has been devised to contain China.
The United States will leave NATO in 2025.
The era of wars. The world after Ukraine. Scenarios for the next conflicts.
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Are the possibilities of artificial intelligence as limitless as we are told?
2026-01-06 13:06:05
No, there are limits to learning. The fast results create a sense of limitlessness.
Modern artificial intelligence models require a huge amount of electricity for training and work. There are physical limitations to computing power — transistors are no longer decreasing so fast. Only a few companies in the world produce advanced chips for artificial intelligence. This means that the zoom cannot be infinite. There are also limitations in terms of global data and knowledge — the amount of data available is limited. The AI industry is also facing a shortage of skilled workers.
Marketing and media often exaggerate the possibilities, ignoring the limitations. AI's capabilities are limited by physics, not just imagination. Equipment, energy, and data are limited. There will be no unlimited AI without new breakthroughs in physics and cognitive sciences.
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Will sanctions be imposed against Israel?
2025-06-14 13:13:46
Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.
The USA benefits from any deal. Peaceful: the USA, with the help of Israel, is pressuring Iran to reach a nuclear deal that prohibits Iran from enriching uranium and is only beneficial to the USA, as there are no restrictions placed on them. Or in the event of a war, the USA sells weapons to Israel.
According to agreements, Tehran committed to reducing its stockpile of enriched uranium, reconfiguring nuclear facilities, and allowing IAEA inspectors. In 2018, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the deal under President Donald Trump, reinstating strict sanctions. This led to Iran gradually abandoning its commitments. Negotiations on the nuclear deal were halted after the Israeli attack, although the U.S. allegedly gives Iran a second chance.
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