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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will close or be absorbed . Investors will become stricter: we need a real business case, not we have AI

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Is there democracy in Russia and Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2023-10-03 09:46:24

Prediction

Yes, there is

Reason

Were the elections alternative? Yes. Is the right to vote equal for everyone? Yes. Do you directly choose the president and deputies? Yes. Do you elect periodically? Yes. Are you being forced to participate in elections? No. Is voting open and public? Yes. Secretly? Yes.

Yes, there is

In the current most “democratic” country of the USA, voters cannot even directly elect a president, only through intermediaries-electors. Suddenly they will vote the wrong way. Moreover, the opinion of voters is only a recommendation for the elector to vote, he may not follow it. Thus, the voices of ordinary Americans are a dummy. Just a cheap farce and brainwashing. In Russia and Kazakhstan, local election commissions are such intermediaries, no matter how you vote, they will calculate how you need to. In fact, this is an autocracy, the basis of which is based on the unlimited control of power by one person or by a council, like a one-party parliament or a presidential republic, whose decisions are not subject to external legal restrictions or orderly mechanisms of popular control (except for the possible hidden threat of a coup d'etat or popular uprising).

References
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Will Putin attend the BRICS summit?

Link Copy 2023-05-27 11:20:32

Prediction

Yes

Reason

South Africa has three more months to find a way to circumvent the ICC warrant without bringing the situation to an international scandal.

Yes

There is an opinion among experts that the International Criminal Court itself does not count on the arrest of the Russian president and the issuance of a warrant is not so much a blow to Moscow as to the BRICS as a whole.

References
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Why are the problems with migrants in Russia not solved even with the intervention of the president?

Link Copy 2024-11-27 15:01:53

Prediction

Migration has become a business

Reason

There are a huge number of people who are interested in keeping things as they are. From those who enrich themselves on illegal migration to those who, at the expense of migrants, cover demographic problems and labor shortages in the country.

Migration has become a business

Until the responsible persons who will be held accountable are named, the problem will exist. And shouting, even from the president, that the problem needs to be solved, will not give anything.

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