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When will the AI bubble burst?

Link Copy 2025-12-14 07:43:49

Prediction

In 2031.

Reason

Why is everyone talking about a bubble? 1) Huge investments with uncertain returns for many startups. 2) Thousands of AI startups that are essentially just a shell for other people's models. 3) High expectations: AI will replace everyone tomorrow. 4) Limitations of the models: hallucinations, high cost, dependence on data and computing power. OpenAI alone has attracted $300 billion in investments. Such investments will not pay off under any circumstances. By 2030, the company will need to show record profits, which it does not have.

In 2031.

Many AI startups will shut down or be acquired. Investors will become stricter: they want a real business case, not just 'we have AI'.

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Why is it only now that the United States has unfrozen space exploration programs after 50 years?

Link Copy 2023-04-17 14:36:42

Prediction

Because there are competitors

Reason

China plans to start manned flights to the moon and build a lunar base by 2030

Because there are competitors

China is a contender for winning the second lunar race (for the creation of the first lunar base and the resumption of manned flights to the moon after more than half a century of break) in case of failure or delay in similar plans of the United States, Russia, EU, Japan, India.

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Will the Russian president be overthrown as a result of an uprising?

Link Copy 2024-09-19 13:56:11

Prediction

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

Reason

Despite the dissatisfaction of the generals with the Russian president for the appointment of a "non-military" Minister of Defense. He will not be overthrown until at least the end of 2024 for the simple reason that it is still better with a president than without him. Moreover, the president has already made concessions, signing an order to expand the staff and increase state support for the army.

No, he will remain in power, despite the rallies and discontent.

But if the war drags on, then it is quite possible to expect an overthrow as a result of an uprising.

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What will an armed conflict between Cambodia and Vietnam lead to?

Link Copy 2025-07-26 14:55:59

Prediction

In the near future, the clash will be rolled back to its previous state – to the beginning of the shelling.

Reason

The armies of both countries are not ready for a major war. It is not beneficial for the sides to continue the conflict, as their economies rely on tourism, and it will soon be resolved.

In the near future, the clash will be rolled back to its previous state – to the beginning of the shelling.

Thailand is a highly pro-American country and has been supported by the US since the Vietnam War. As for Cambodia, it is within China's sphere of influence. US-China relations are currently at a stage of increasing tension; the trade war has been set aside but is by no means over, and there is a noticeable escalation in the situation in Taiwan and the South China Sea. Therefore, Cambodia decided that China will support it now.

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