In the fall of 2023. They will end in nothing.
In the summer of 2023 there will be fierce battles in Ukraine and terrorist attacks on the territory of Russia. Türkiye is already trying to arrange negotiations between Russia and Ukraine. But now these negotiations are not beneficial for Russia, because in fact it is a loss in the war. In 2024, elections in Ukraine, Russia and the United States. Before the elections, it is necessary to end the war, because if there is a war, Zelensky has little chance of winning the elections. Biden will also have few trump cards before the electorate in the elections.

The United States is trying with all its might to freeze the conflict for 10 years. In 2024, the election campaign will begin in America and no one will be engaged in Ukraine. 2023 is the last year when Ukraine will receive military assistance from the United States. Without military assistance, the war will not end, but hostilities will weaken. The current presidents of Russia and Ukraine will not sit down at the same negotiating table. In order for the signing of a peace treaty to happen, at least one president must be replaced.
In Ukraine, they proposed to start negotiations after the denazification of the country
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There is no manpower, and Europe and the United States will not interfere, because Russia has nuclear weapons.
The conflict could have been avoided, but the United States and NATO did not even consider the possibility of negotiations with Russia, which led to sad consequences for themselves and for Ukraine.

Now, a year and a half later, Ukraine is starting to say that there is no one to fight, Western aid has decreased, sanctions are no longer being imposed. And Europe started talking about the urgent need to start negotiations.
Judging Freedom: The United States lacks the courage to admit that it made a mistake in Ukraine
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The end of May, if there is no ground operation
The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

Trump is hinting at ending the war by May 15, 2026, before meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing, as the war in the Middle East directly affects China's interests.
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To war
Capitalism tends toward monopolization, and monopoly ultimately leads to war. The logic of free competition inevitably brings the market to a state where only the last two competitors remain, practically deciding between themselves who should exclusively own the entire market.

At present, trade wars over market ownership are already underway, for example, between the United States and China.
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