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What are the causes of modern wars?

Link Copy 2023-11-01 01:54:16

Prediction

Economic interest, resources, territory

Reason

There may be other reasons, but whatever they may be, there is always an economic interest in all wars, even if the parties to the conflict talk about other, more noble reasons.

Economic interest, resources, territory

Throughout history, there have been wars on the territory of different states, but at the moment the development of technology has reached such a level that war leads to the largest human and economic losses in history.

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When will video cards fall in price?

Link Copy 2022-06-12 09:32:01

Prediction

Video cards will appear in July 2021 and prices will start to fall in autumn 2021

Reason

China bans mining, Chinese miners start selling video cards, Ethereum bans mining on video cards

Video cards will appear in July 2021 and prices will start to fall in autumn 2021

In the global market, changes can begin at different times. In some countries, changes may start Q3 2021, in other countries Q1 2022 may start. Changes can occur within 2 years

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Will there be a truce between Ukraine and Russia?

Link Copy 2025-09-06 16:01:31

Prediction

A truce is expected in November 2025.

Reason

The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

A truce is expected in November 2025.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.

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When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

Link Copy 2023-07-28 14:26:17

Prediction

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

Reason

The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?

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