North and South Korea will unite into one country. Maldives, Haiti, the Netherlands, England are slowly but surely sinking under water. When the war begins, in which China will participate, Taiwan will inevitably be invaded, since through the island it can control half of the sea. Israel claims the Palestinian territory, negotiations are underway with Egypt on the resettlement of refugees. As soon as the US position in the world weakens, Israel will immediately be attacked by Muslim countries. Kazakhstan will not be able to exist independently and will join Russia, and in the future will become the territory of China.
North and South Korea will unite into one country. Maldives, Haiti, the Netherlands, England are slowly but surely sinking under water. When the war begins, in which China will participate, Taiwan will inevitably be invaded, since through the island it can control half of the sea. Israel claims the Palestinian territory, negotiations are underway with Egypt on the resettlement of refugees. As soon as the US position in the world weakens, Israel will immediately be attacked by Muslim countries. Kazakhstan will not be able to exist independently and will join Russia, and in the future will become the territory of China.

In addition, Europe will have to face unification and division. Africa will not be spared by the changes either.
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Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.
The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.
What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?
What if Ukraine wins and Putin is removed?
Accuracy 20
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No
There are no events that can cause the beginning of mass riots. There is no one to organize riots, because before the holding of out-of-ceremonial elections in November 2022, the Ministry of Internal Affairs detained persons involved in planning the organization of mass riots. Also, January 2023 will be much colder than January 2022 and there will be no large masses of walkers on the streets.

It is impossible to rule out the possibility of new protests, including large actions, but a repeat of the January events with the same degree of radicalism is unlikely in the near future.
Will there be new protests in Kazakhstan? Opinion of Russian experts
KNB special operation: Mass riots were planned on November 20 in Kazakhstan
Protests and the state of emergency in Kazakhstan. Main
Accuracy 30
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A truce is expected in November 2025.
The situation is not in favor of Russia. There is no significant success in the offensive of the troops, the country is being bombed unhindered, the last partners are on the verge of breaking off relations, an economic and gasoline crisis is brewing, and money is running out. Therefore, there is a high probability of peace and that Russia will make concessions.

Russia still has the resources for war, but the situation is getting worse. If the truce does not happen before the winter of 2025, there will be very heavy fighting and a very difficult winter for Russia. Ukraine now has long-range missiles and will bomb Russian energy infrastructure.
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