2023-09-11 12:26:54

In 2055. Because of the Russian territories.

When the USSR collapsed, Western goods flooded into the Russian market, and for 30 years they practically captured the entire market, receiving Russian resources in return. In 2022, Europe and the United States left the Russian market, and it turned out that the products could not be assembled at Russian factories, since they used foreign components that were not manufactured in Russia. Instead of independent development, the Russian authorities again gave the entire market to China. In 30 years, the situation will repeat. But China is not Europe and will not give up its factories just like that.

Most likely, the scenario of the collapse of the USSR will be played out again, but this time Russia will collapse. The president will be killed, then there will be referendums of disconnection from Russia and joining China. Russia will restore its territories by military means.

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2026-03-29 12:54:08

There will be no ground operation, but there will be no serious negotiations, at least not until the end of the summer.

The United States is forced to reach an agreement with Iran. Because oil prices are going up. No one wanted to fight Iran instead of the United States, including NATO allies. Trump was absolutely certain of a blitzkrieg with Iran, but it quickly became clear that the war had not gone according to plan. There was no quick victory. We will have to negotiate and pay reparations. Otherwise, oil prices will skyrocket to $250 per barrel, at the current 120 and 60 before the war. The capture of Kharq will not only lead to increased tensions throughout the Persian Gulf, including possible attacks on the energy infrastructure of the countries of the region, but will actually bury any chance of an agreement on ending the war with Tehran in the foreseeable future. Even now, these chances are extremely low, primarily because of Iran's complete distrust of the aggressors, and if American troops land on Iranian territory, they will disappear completely.

Trump will negotiate oil purchases from the United States at a meeting with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 15, and there will be no talk of ending the war. Most likely, China will think and then refuse, citing the country's interests in the region, and Europe will also put pressure on Trump inside the country, so we will have to negotiate.

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2024-02-01 12:52:56

The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024

In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).

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