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What will the consumer society lead to?

Link Copy 2024-09-06 10:00:58

Prediction

To the Death of Civilization

Reason

If consumption continues to rise in the near future, we will face the depletion of natural resources and wars over them.

To the Death of Civilization

Inflating consumption for the sake of more consumption cannot continue indefinitely. The depletion of resources will lead to their shortage, and uncontrolled lending will lead to the depreciation of money. The result could be a crisis never seen before, with people fighting for food and starving to death, and endless rows of coffee makers and televisions piled up on store shelves.

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Will Russia be able to carry out import substitution of electronics by 2030?

Link Copy 2022-12-12 08:25:20

Prediction

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

Reason

Lack of specialists. There is a critical dependence of the design and production processes on foreign technologies, including software, and materials (in particular, high-purity chemistry and silicon). Low investment attractiveness of the industry. Lack of production capacity.

If we are talking about the purchase of obsolete equipment, then yes. If we are talking about the production of semiconductors with 0, then no.

3.19 trillion rubles will be enough only to buy obsolete equipment. ASML spent $6 billion a year to become an industry leader. But she had specialists, there were no sanctions and there was no urgent need. In the current situation, the amount needs to be tripled.

References

Accuracy 30

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Why have all the big companies turned to AI now?

Link Copy 2026-04-06 09:16:48

Prediction

This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.

Reason

By 2045, the global IT market will become clearly concentrated, with several leading players and a high market share. It should be noted that the market may shrink by about 1.5‑3 times in terms of the number of active professionals, but at the same time the quality, complexity and value of these specialists will increase.

This is a strategic and economic trend. Investing in AI is about saving, growth, innovation, and HR strategy at the same time.

It is safe from the point of view of control not to go into AI, but it is almost guaranteed to lead to lagging behind and loss of market share, especially if competitors actively use AI. In a highly competitive world where speed and scale are important, not using AI can be worse than the risk of failures in its implementation.

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What is the main mistake of the USA?

Link Copy 2023-10-19 09:04:05

Prediction

They do not think about the future of the country and the planet, they only think about their interests and enrichment

Reason

After the change of the president, the new administration begins a completely new policy that negates all the previous achievements of the old administration and the president. After that, no one will talk to them.

They do not think about the future of the country and the planet, they only think about their interests and enrichment

Their affairs are now worthy of some kind of street brawl, and not affairs of a national or planetary scale.

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