No
Tactical nuclear weapons are used in places where troops are concentrated. Russia can bomb Ukrainian troops and cities without nuclear weapons. If they are going to bomb Ukrainian cities with nuclear weapons, they take responsibility for the deaths of civilians and the consequences of the use of TNW. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be used as the last resort, in the event of a stalemate. But if Ukraine starts bombing Belarus, this will actually untie Russia's hands in the use of TNWs.

Neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war on each other. Shouts about the use of nuclear weapons are just political games, like shouts about the beginning of World War III. This is a reason to end the conflict and sit down at the negotiating table, if they continue to act in the same direction as now, the war could escalate into a confrontation with Europe with the use of TNWs.
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The degradation and destruction of the economy will continue until 2030. After 2035, Kazakhstan will join Russia. After 2055, Kazakhstan will become part of China.
At the moment, in all high-ranking positions there are delitants who do not understand anything in their business. There is no struggle with the first president's henchmen. Loans are being actively taken from China. Agreements are being concluded on visa-free visits by Chinese to Kazakhstan. Relations with neighboring Russia are deteriorating to please the Americans. The economy is being destroyed by raising prices for price-forming resources like water and electricity. Resource-producing enterprises and lands are being sold.

There will be no changes for the better before the end of the current president's term. And the next president simply will not be able to solve all the accumulated problems.
The path of Kazakhstan after the quarrel with Russia: quick death or quiet extinction?
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The fighting will begin in the fall of 2024
In the case of significant successes in the Donbas and near Kharkov, there is a very high probability of launching an offensive against Nikolaev, followed by its capture and access to the outskirts of Odessa at the end of summer. In connection with the allocation of 51 billion euros of aid, military operations will begin with renewed vigor, and a new Ukrainian offensive has already been announced in order to delay the advance of Russian troops.

Ukraine's loss of Odessa and the surrounding territories would mean turning into a completely isolated state, which is also blocked from the north, east and south by unfriendly countries (Russia-Belarus-Transnistria).
The Battle for Odessa (2022)
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In 2035
In 2035, Kazakhstan will not be able to pay off the national debt with China. China will demand land.

According to the government's analytical report, there can be no problems until 2050. The national debt will amount to 32% of GDP.
Devaluation will not help: how to give Kazakhstan the growing national debt? - Economists
Kazakhstan's national debt will eat a third of the country's revenues in 2023
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