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Is a nuclear escalation of the conflict and a third world war possible because of Russia and Ukraine in 2024-2025?

Link Copy 2024-10-15 11:14:58

Prediction

No

Reason

Tactical nuclear weapons are used in places where troops are concentrated. Russia can bomb Ukrainian troops and cities without nuclear weapons. If they are going to bomb Ukrainian cities with nuclear weapons, they take responsibility for the deaths of civilians and the consequences of the use of TNW. Therefore, nuclear weapons will be used as the last resort, in the event of a stalemate. But if Ukraine starts bombing Belarus, this will actually untie Russia's hands in the use of TNWs.

No

Neither Russia nor Ukraine declared war on each other. Shouts about the use of nuclear weapons are just political games, like shouts about the beginning of World War III. This is a reason to end the conflict and sit down at the negotiating table, if they continue to act in the same direction as now, the war could escalate into a confrontation with Europe with the use of TNWs.

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Comments 0

What is the main disadvantage of Putin?

Link Copy 2023-04-28 12:35:05

Prediction

Bad personnel policy

Reason

Vladimir Putin has raised the bar too high for subsequent presidents, which means that no matter what new candidate comes in, he is unlikely to reach Putin, which may negatively affect the state of affairs in the country. The same is true of figures in key positions in the country; there are also no comparable candidates to replace them. They just don't grow.

Bad personnel policy

Putin's main personnel problem is that he appoints the faithful, but asks how smart they are.

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What will be the next president of Russia after Putin?

Link Copy 2023-09-28 09:49:18

Prediction

Politically weak

Reason

All talk about a successor is stopped, no one wants to even think about it. Preparations for the succession are not underway, which means that the new president will be chosen spontaneously and will protect the personal interests of the ruling elite, and not the whole country. The president from alternative parties will not be allowed to win.

Politically weak

Nothing will change in the country with the change of the president. The country will continue to sell energy resources abroad. The new president will make decisions based on personal gain, hiding behind the interests of the country.

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Western companies have left Russia, will the Russian economy recover?

Link Copy 2025-07-08 12:19:26

Prediction

No, all conditions have been created for the economic situation in Russia not to improve.

Reason

After the withdrawal of Western companies from the Russian market, the Central Bank raised the interest rate, thereby banning the issuance of cheap loans, arguing that the goal is to preserve the savings of Russians. The VAT was also increased, which affected the prices of all goods and services. Additionally, Chinese companies were allowed to enter the market. Furthermore, as a result of the war, Russia may acquire bombed Ukrainian territories that will need to be rebuilt from scratch, which will also impact the economy.

No, all conditions have been created for the economic situation in Russia not to improve.

It seems that there are only traitors sitting in the ministries of the country, who do everything the opposite.

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