Collect

Is it true that there is no unemployment in Russia, but there is a problem of labor shortages?

Link Copy 2024-12-22 02:07:40

Prediction

Both problems are present

Reason

Only data on the unemployed who applied to employment centers are provided, and not on the difference between the able-bodied population and the officially employed. The problem of labor shortages is also present, people do not want to work for low wages.

Both problems are present

The number of potential labor force and the number of unemployed differ by 4 times

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Will additional sanctions be imposed against China because of Taiwan?

Link Copy 2022-06-01 14:45:42

Prediction

Yes, the US is ready to use all its sanctions tools against China if Beijing takes aggressive actions against Taiwan.

Reason

In the United States, the question is being discussed that China will in any case, in 10-15 years, go to the separation from the global financial system. Therefore, they are simply trying to be proactive and cause social instability in China

Yes, the US is ready to use all its sanctions tools against China if Beijing takes aggressive actions against Taiwan.

Chinese operation to retake Taiwan was allegedly planned for fall 2022, Newsweek reports

References

Accuracy 40

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Why did Carlos Tucker actually interview Vladimir Putin?

Link Copy 2024-02-10 08:33:49

Prediction

Preparations for the commencement of peace negotiations

Reason

Everyone is fed up with war and the only way to start ending it is to start negotiations

Preparations for the commencement of peace negotiations

The public is being prepared to think that Russia is not as bad as they say and that it is possible to negotiate with it

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When will Israel's war with Hamas end?

Link Copy 2024-04-10 10:25:39

Prediction

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

Reason

In the end, the United States tells Israel to end the war after the elections, reinforcing this demand by stopping the supply of weapons and stopping financing. The problem for the Biden administration is that it cannot twist the arms of Benjamin Netanyahu's government too much, because in an election year this could reduce Joe Biden's own chances of re-election, since the Israeli lobby has strong positions in the American elite.

The truce will be concluded in early 2025

The Israeli military leadership makes it clear that the war is far from over. The country's authorities insist only on a temporary pause in hostilities, after which they will be ready to resume the offensive, and then only after pressure from the United States. Also, Israel does not have a clear plan for what will happen to the Gaza Strip after the end of hostilities. The head of the Israeli National Security Council, Tzachi Hanegbi, has already announced the prospects of war with the Lebanese Hezbollah group after the successful fight against Hamas. A war with Iran is also possible.

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