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Is it true that there is no unemployment in Russia, but there is a problem of labor shortages?

Link Copy 2024-12-22 02:07:40

Prediction

Both problems are present

Reason

Only data on the unemployed who applied to employment centers are provided, and not on the difference between the able-bodied population and the officially employed. The problem of labor shortages is also present, people do not want to work for low wages.

Both problems are present

The number of potential labor force and the number of unemployed differ by 4 times

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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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Who will become President of Russia in 2036?

Link Copy 2023-01-28 12:12:59

Prediction

Alexey Dyumin

Reason

Vladimir Putin will appoint his successor, who will be the main candidate of the presidential elections

Alexey Dyumin

In 2024, the terms of the current president will be reset. Putin will not give his victory to anyone.

References

Accuracy 20

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Why is Biden withdrawing his candidacy for president?

Link Copy 2024-07-20 12:56:35

Prediction

Because he can't win

Reason

Biden is under serious pressure within his party. The American president is being forced to drop out of the election race as soon as this coming weekend. The White House claims that Biden is capable of serving a second term as president, provided he is elected, but he has little chance of defeating Trump.

Because he can't win

The Democratic Party's presidential candidate will be chosen at the party's national convention, which will be held from August 19-22 in Chicago. And it will not be Vice President Kamala Harris. Biden is one of Ukraine's main sponsors. President Zelensky has already stated that by the end of the year the war will end its active phase, which means they are preparing for a change in the US leadership.

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