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Is a repeat of the unrest expected in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2022-05-22 09:32:01

Prediction

Rallies are expected to celebrate Nauryz on March 21-23. Can turn into riots

Reason

Most likely, the protesters will demand higher wages against the background of the growth of the dollar against the national currency. Also from 19 to 23 5 days off

Rallies are expected to celebrate Nauryz on March 21-23. Can turn into riots

Protests in Kazakhstan were simply taken advantage of. Everyone knew perfectly well that the gas campaign would start working on January 1, and this decision was not made on December 31. This decision was agreed upon for several months.

References

Accuracy 40

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When can China dominate the semiconductor industry?

Link Copy 2023-01-19 08:30:36

Prediction

In 2042

Reason

Although China allocates 3 times more funds to microelectronics than its main competitors. China is currently dependent on US technology, and to overtake the US, it needs to create a new conductor technology. Such technology will be invented by 2040

In 2042

The U.S. is already creating some tensions with its partners and will not be able to block the supply of key components to China in the future

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Accuracy 10

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Why can a war start in Kazakhstan as in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-06-12 02:08:31

Prediction

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Reason

The war in Ukraine began, among other things, because Ukraine began to prohibit companies with owners from Russia from working, and Russian business was forced to sell its assets in Ukraine for nothing

If Kazakhstan prohibits, seizes Chinese or Russian private property or prohibits companies with owners from Russia or China

Astana's pro-Western course will lead to the collapse of Kazakhstan's statehood

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What will happen if Ukraine wins the war?

Link Copy 2023-01-11 05:38:29

Prediction

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

Reason

The scenario is plausible if Ukraine is supported long enough or fought on the side of Ukraine.

Russia will have to pay hundreds of billions to compensate for the physical damage caused by the invasion. Military restrictions of the Russian Navy: no Russian Navy in the Black, Azov and Baltic Seas for 50 years. Military restrictions of the Russian army: from all its northern, western and southern borders, Russia must withdraw troops at least 100 km. War crimes: Russia must be punished for its wartime atrocities. Nuclear weapons: Under the new treaty with NATO, Russia must immediately agree to reduce its nuclear weapons to a quantity and quality no greater than that of the United States, and agree to inspections by NATO to ensure this compliance.

All that stops the West from these scenarios is Russia's possession of nuclear weapons.

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Accuracy 20

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