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Will there be a civil war in Texas?

Link Copy 2024-01-30 13:15:40

Prediction

No, the state itself will have to solve the issue of migrants.

Reason

America will be busy with a war with Iran

No, the state itself will have to solve the issue of migrants.

Democrats will remember this in the elections

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Elon Musk wants to start producing his own phones, can he beat Apple and Google?

Link Copy 2025-04-11 06:05:27

Prediction

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

Reason

The United States has imposed protective tariffs on all countries. Apple and Google phones are not made in America, but in other countries. In the near future, their prices will skyrocket. Musk wants to establish production in the United States, making phones at competitive prices. But the main problem is that his reputation is ruined. And there are more and more competitors, and they are already putting pressure on his business, especially on the business of electric vehicles. And because of the trade war, goods and services from the United States will be less in demand. And this is already a trend.

Musk can establish the production of phones if he wants, and he can even compete, but he cannot defeat the world giants

The analytical divisions of UBS, Mizuho and Goldman Sachs revised downward the target levels of Tesla shares. Experts note that the slowdown in the global economy and the strengthening of trade barriers may continue to put pressure on Tesla quotes.

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Will there be a US technical default in 2023?

Link Copy 2023-05-17 20:18:24

Prediction

No, raise the debt ceiling

Reason

Both Republicans and Democrats are in favor of raising the national debt ceiling, but Republicans demand to cut spending

No, raise the debt ceiling

In 2011, it was possible to agree on raising the amount of debt only three days before the “deadline”. The compromise was eventually reached after President Barack Obama's administration agreed to cut defense and other spending.

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Is Dmitry Medvedev's forecast for 2023 correct?

Link Copy 2022-12-30 04:42:35

Prediction

No

Reason

There are many flaws in the forecast. In 2024, elections in the United States will be held in November. Energy prices depend on many factors, such as supply and demand, availability and number of suppliers. For such prices to appear, someone must leave the energy market. Russia itself? All decisions in the European Union on accession are made for years and simply cannot be agreed in a year.

No

This is just a favorable forecast for Russia, which could still be believed if it were announced at least for 3 years. Also, the forecast does not specify Russia itself, as well as China.

References

Accuracy 20

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