Will there even be a 3rd World War?

2025-05-05 02:17:03

There will be military action, but without a declaration of war!

The declaration of war entails legal consequences such as the mobilization of the population, the imposition of curfews, and others. If war is not declared, but simply fighting is underway, this gives more room for maneuver. Declaring war on countries in conflict is not accepted and is very dangerous. Let's recall Iraq or Yugoslavia, there was no state of war there, everything was done by operations to enforce peace or impose democracy. But by no means a declaration of war. Without declaring war, a State can be recognized as an aggressor that invaded the territory of a neighbor with whom it had good neighborly relations, and it recognized the people's right to self-determination.

Declaring war on a state can have negative consequences. In this case, economic ties with other countries, even with those that support them, immediately begin to crumble. Thus, sanctions may be imposed, and the implementation of UN sanctions will be closely monitored. This can also have consequences up to and including expulsion from the UN. And yes, a country that has been declared at war can be officially helped with the approval of the United Nations, so to speak, by the whole world.

What is the forecast for SpaceX?

2026-06-21 10:45:15

There will be growth in year 6, but by 2027 it will disappoint investors.

At the peak of IPOs and the euphoria of artificial intelligence, the market often ignores the bad news. Investors are buying stories about the future: robotaxi, AGI, Mars, revolution in transportation. Revenues and margins fade into the background. In 2027, everything will change. The company simply has nowhere to make a profit. This is not a Tesla that could share technology for money and achieve payback thanks to the introduced zero-emission laws. Nobody needs space. Starlink will not be able to cover the losses. Grok is lagging behind in the development of artificial intelligence and will not catch up with competitors in the near future. In 2025, Tesla's global shipments decreased by about 9% year-on-year, and the company lost leadership in electric vehicle sales to China's BYD, and according to Tesla reports, it continued to gradually lose market share in Q1 2026 as the overall electric vehicle market grows faster and competitors become more aggressive. Tesla's autopilot is inferior to Waymo in terms of real driverless autonomy. The Optimus robot still does not know how to work stably in the “real world without control.”

For a SpaceX shareholder, the question is as follows: Will Grok be better than ChatGPT and Claude? This may turn out to be almost as important as the question Will Starship be able to fly to Mars?. And 2027 will be the year of verification: is Grok making money? Is Starlink growing as fast as promised? Does Starship have any commercial success? Is the estimate of trillions of dollars justified?

When will Google fall?

2024-05-13 10:24:28

As soon as a competitor or competitors of their Youtube service appear

The company makes money from advertising, and if people don't watch Youtube, they won't see the ads, which means revenue will plummet.

Another option is that Google or Alphabet will find themselves embroiled in some kind of grandiose scandal

When will the negotiations between Russia and Ukraine take place and why is Ukraine asking for a 30-day ceasefire?

2025-05-11 16:38:54

Negotiations will begin in the spring of 2026, as the US has once again allocated money to Ukraine for military actions.

Ukraine signed an agreement with the USA on rare earth metals, and the USA allocated funds for military actions. Russia declared a three-day ceasefire in honor of Victory Day. Zelensky proposed extending the ceasefire for 30 days. A 30-day ceasefire could be used as a cover for rearmament.

Summer negotiations between the US, Ukraine, and Russia will lead to nothing. Ukraine has the money to continue the war. Russia has also changed the goals of its special military operation, expanding its territorial claims. Achieving these goals will require an increase in the size of the armed forces. A military draft is expected in Russia in the fall, and fierce fighting is anticipated in the winter, with the possibility of sitting at the negotiating table in the spring of 2026, depending on the outcome of the military actions.