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Will there even be a 3rd World War?

Link Copy 2025-05-05 02:17:03

Prediction

There will be military action, but without a declaration of war!

Reason

The declaration of war entails legal consequences such as the mobilization of the population, the imposition of curfews, and others. If war is not declared, but simply fighting is underway, this gives more room for maneuver. Declaring war on countries in conflict is not accepted and is very dangerous. Let's recall Iraq or Yugoslavia, there was no state of war there, everything was done by operations to enforce peace or impose democracy. But by no means a declaration of war. Without declaring war, a State can be recognized as an aggressor that invaded the territory of a neighbor with whom it had good neighborly relations, and it recognized the people's right to self-determination.

There will be military action, but without a declaration of war!

Declaring war on a state can have negative consequences. In this case, economic ties with other countries, even with those that support them, immediately begin to crumble. Thus, sanctions may be imposed, and the implementation of UN sanctions will be closely monitored. This can also have consequences up to and including expulsion from the UN. And yes, a country that has been declared at war can be officially helped with the approval of the United Nations, so to speak, by the whole world.

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When can China dominate the semiconductor industry?

Link Copy 2023-01-19 08:30:36

Prediction

In 2042

Reason

Although China allocates 3 times more funds to microelectronics than its main competitors. China is currently dependent on US technology, and to overtake the US, it needs to create a new conductor technology. Such technology will be invented by 2040

In 2042

The U.S. is already creating some tensions with its partners and will not be able to block the supply of key components to China in the future

References

Accuracy 10

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Who will win in the early presidential elections in Kazakhstan?

Link Copy 2022-10-25 10:42:16

Prediction

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

Reason

There would be no special election if there was no intention to win. Statistically, incumbent presidents have always won. The opposition did not have time to prepare for the elections because the elections were called in a short period of time.

The current president of Kazakhstan wins with the score of 79.16%. Election turnout will be 81.66%

According to the Constitution of the Republic of Kazakhstan, the current president of Kazakhstan cannot be nominated for a second term. Participation in the election of the current president is illegal.

References

Accuracy 30

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When will people meet their brothers in mind?

Link Copy 2024-05-09 10:34:56

Prediction

After they get to Earth-like planets by 2160

Reason

Near-space scans have yielded no results, and the nearest Earth-like planets are 55 parsecs from Earth

After they get to Earth-like planets by 2160

Humanity will find either intelligent beings or the remains of ancient civilizations

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