There will be military action, but without a declaration of war!
The declaration of war entails legal consequences such as the mobilization of the population, the imposition of curfews, and others. If war is not declared, but simply fighting is underway, this gives more room for maneuver. Declaring war on countries in conflict is not accepted and is very dangerous. Let's recall Iraq or Yugoslavia, there was no state of war there, everything was done by operations to enforce peace or impose democracy. But by no means a declaration of war. Without declaring war, a State can be recognized as an aggressor that invaded the territory of a neighbor with whom it had good neighborly relations, and it recognized the people's right to self-determination.

Declaring war on a state can have negative consequences. In this case, economic ties with other countries, even with those that support them, immediately begin to crumble. Thus, sanctions may be imposed, and the implementation of UN sanctions will be closely monitored. This can also have consequences up to and including expulsion from the UN. And yes, a country that has been declared at war can be officially helped with the approval of the United Nations, so to speak, by the whole world.
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They want Iran to block the Strait of Hormuz.
The Strait of Hormuz is one of the planet's key transport arteries, through which millions of barrels of oil and millions of tons of liquefied natural gas pass daily. Closing the strait, even for a short period, can lead to a surge in oil prices, fluctuations in global markets, and serious supply disruptions. If the strait is closed, Europe will be forced to buy gas from the U.S. as Russian gas is cut off for them. Pressure on Iran will increase Europe's dependence on the U.S. And in the U.S. itself, any laws can be passed in sync with Iran's attacks, as the media daily bombards the population with news about the war with Iran. At the same time, arms can be sold to Israel.

No one has imposed sanctions against the USA and Israel yet.
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In 2024, the transition period to this change will only come.
The sanctions did not discourage the elite's aspirations to the West, but they gave rise to a desire to somehow circumvent the sanctions and quickly cancel or at least weaken part of them. The path to the West for the Russian elite remains the main one, despite the statement of insurmountable differences with the elites of the West. There is simply no other option comparable in terms of profitability. The reduction of the resource base sowed confusion in the elites and required the arbitrator to remove certain players from the number of active clans by force.

When will there be a change of the ruling elite in Russia?
A rapid large-scale purge or replacement of the elite with a new composition? What Is Putin's Choice?
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It will begin in the fall of 2025
With the loss of Africa, after coups d'etat and the outbreak of war in Africa, Europe will be cut off from African energy resources. After the change of leadership, the United States will have another energy program aimed at providing energy resources first for itself, and then only selling them to Europe. Cooperation between Russia and China. China will need energy resources for its growing economy. These factors will lead to an increase in energy prices worldwide. Demand will grow, but the number of offers will remain the same.

European countries will be unevenly affected by the energy crisis. The crisis will be accompanied by a slowdown in economic growth
Why is Africa being turned into a battlefield with Europe and Russia?
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