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Will sanctions be imposed against Israel?

Link Copy 2025-06-14 13:13:46

Prediction

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

Reason

The USA benefits from any deal. Peaceful: the USA, with the help of Israel, is pressuring Iran to reach a nuclear deal that prohibits Iran from enriching uranium and is only beneficial to the USA, as there are no restrictions placed on them. Or in the event of a war, the USA sells weapons to Israel.

Formal sanctions will be imposed because what Israel is doing is beneficial for the USA.

According to agreements, Tehran committed to reducing its stockpile of enriched uranium, reconfiguring nuclear facilities, and allowing IAEA inspectors. In 2018, the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the deal under President Donald Trump, reinstating strict sanctions. This led to Iran gradually abandoning its commitments. Negotiations on the nuclear deal were halted after the Israeli attack, although the U.S. allegedly gives Iran a second chance.

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Does it even make sense to trust rating agencies?

Link Copy 2022-06-11 13:52:55

Prediction

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Reason

The company that is evaluated pays for the valuation. There is no transparent methodology for calculating the rating that can be verified. Rating agencies are not responsible for the ratings given. Geopolitical interests influence the ratings of agencies.

No. Agencies do not cope with the basic task - they cannot objectively assess the creditworthiness of the borrower.

Usually, rating agencies seriously overestimate ratings for the country they come from.

References

Accuracy 40

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Why destroy Christianity in Ukraine?

Link Copy 2023-04-07 15:39:52

Prediction

In addition to the political motive - the church is a source of morality.

Reason

Christian ethics, or the moral teaching of Christianity, defines the moral guidelines for human behavior.

In addition to the political motive - the church is a source of morality.

The West is not interested in preserving the UOC

References
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Why is the war in Ukraine not ending?

Link Copy 2025-11-01 03:50:32

Prediction

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Reason

Possible scenarios for the end of the war 1. Military exhaustion of one or both sides. 2. Political change is a change of government or an external course in one of the countries. 3. An agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial. 4. Frozen conflict - cessation of active hostilities without final peace. 5. Victory in the war. Russia - if it starts mass mobilization and mass offensives. Ukraine - if the West starts fighting for it. Currently, the West (the United States, the EU, and NATO) supports Ukraine with weapons, intelligence, and finances, but it is not fighting for it.

The most likely scenario for concluding peace is an agreement mediated by third countries, if both sides consider it beneficial, but this option was postponed by the United States, ending negotiations for at least 6 months. The countries' goals are mutually exclusive, and neither side is yet ready to make concessions that the other deems acceptable.

Instead of starting negotiations, Ukraine was again pumped with weapons and money. They probably expect the Russian president to be overthrown.

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